American Homes 4 Preferred Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AMH-PG Preferred Stock  USD 22.42  0.10  0.45%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your conservative attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding American Homes 4 is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides American Homes buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AMH-PG positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of American Homes' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting American Homes' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
22.63
Hype Value
22.32
Market Value
22.42
Naive Value
22.28
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell American Homes 4 given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards American Homes. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for American Homes 4, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out American Homes Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as American and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards American Homes 4. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute American Homes Buy or Sell Advice

The American recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on American Homes 4. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in American Homes 4 or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute American Homes' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell American HomesBuy American Homes
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon American Homes 4 has a Mean Deviation of 0.657, Standard Deviation of 0.8787 and Variance of 0.7722
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on American Homes. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure American Homes is not overpriced, please confirm all American Homes 4 fundamentals, including its current valuation, gross profit, debt to equity, as well as the relationship between the price to earning and cash and equivalents . Given that American Homes 4 has a price to earning of 112.94 X, we suggest you to validate American Homes 4 market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

American Homes Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

American Homes 4 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

American Homes Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of American Homes' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of American Homes' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of American Homes daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use American Homes 4 price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of American Homes returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for American Homes.
Mean Return
-0.06
Value At Risk
-1.45
Potential Upside
1.50
Standard Deviation
0.88
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of American Homes historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

American Homes Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to American Homes or Real Estate sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that American Homes' price will be affected by overall preferred stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a American preferred stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.1
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.37
σ
Overall volatility
0.89
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

American Homes Volatility Alert

American Homes 4 exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.27 and kurtosis of 0.74. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure American Homes' preferred stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact American Homes' preferred stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

American Homes Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing American Homes' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze American Homes' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between American Homes and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as American Homes or determine the preferred stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of American Homes' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Homes by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare American Homes to competition
FundamentalsAmerican HomesPeer Average
Return On Equity0.039-0.31
Return On Asset0.0165-0.14
Profit Margin0.16 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.21 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation12.49 B16.62 B
Shares Owned By Institutions47.02 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.7 K4.71 M
Price To Earning112.94 X28.72 X
Price To Sales5.36 X11.42 X
Revenue1.3 B9.43 B
Gross Profit701.06 M27.38 B
EBITDA665.68 M3.9 B
Net Income189.09 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents119.18 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.40 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.53 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity47.30 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.05 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share18.30 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations595.2 M971.22 M
Short Ratio0.30 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.48 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees1.54 K18.84 K
Beta0.67-0.15
Market Capitalization8.13 B19.03 B
Total Asset10.96 B29.47 B
Z Score1.28.72
Annual Yield0.06 %
Net Asset10.96 B
Last Dividend Paid0.64

American Homes Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as American . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About American Homes Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell American Homes 4? Buying financial instruments such as American Preferred Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having American Homes in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Trading Thematic Idea Now

Trading
Trading Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Trading theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Trading Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out American Homes Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the American Homes 4 information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other American Homes' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between American Homes' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Homes is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Homes' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.