Ambow Education Holding Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
AMBO Stock | USD 1.72 0.14 8.86% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding Ambow Education Holding is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Ambow Education buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AMBO positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Ambow Education's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Ambow Education's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 1.65 | Hype Value 2.44 | Market Value 1.72 | Naive Value 2.06 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Ambow Education Holding given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Ambow Education. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Ambow Education Holding, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Ambow |
Execute Ambow Education Buy or Sell Advice
The Ambow recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ambow Education Holding. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ambow Education Holding or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ambow Education's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Out of control | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves totally opposite to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Ambow Education Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
Ambow Education is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
Ambow Education may become a speculative penny stock | |
Ambow Education appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
Ambow Education has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
The company currently holds 75.81 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 4.45, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ambow Education Holding has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Ambow Education until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ambow Education's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ambow Education Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ambow to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ambow Education's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 102.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (63.82 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (581 K). | |
Ambow Education Holding currently holds about 140.33 M in cash with (63.79 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.39, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
Ambow Education has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: Ambow Education Holding Ltd Stock Adds 5.71 percent This Week Should You Buy - InvestorsObserver |
Ambow Education Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Ambow Education's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ambow Education's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ambow Education daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ambow Education Holding price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ambow Education returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ambow Education.
Mean Return | 1.27 | Value At Risk | -16.88 | Potential Upside | 18.67 | Standard Deviation | 16.70 |
Return Density |
Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ambow Education historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Ambow Education Cash Flow Accounts
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
Change To Inventory | (32.9M) | (30.0M) | 12.6M | (105.0M) | (94.5M) | (89.7M) | |
Change In Cash | (83.9M) | (38.0M) | 39.6M | (164.0M) | (147.6M) | (140.3M) | |
Free Cash Flow | (27.1M) | (6.0M) | (35.8M) | (63.8M) | (57.4M) | (54.5M) | |
Depreciation | 57.4M | 68.2M | 53.6M | 25.8M | 23.2M | 22.1M | |
Other Non Cash Items | 43.3M | (3.7M) | (2.4M) | (23.3M) | (20.9M) | (19.9M) | |
Capital Expenditures | 22.2M | 18.9M | 16.9M | 10.9M | 19.8M | 0.0 | |
Net Income | (100.4M) | (64.0M) | 2.0M | (63.8M) | (73.4M) | (77.1M) | |
End Period Cash Flow | 157.6M | 119.6M | 159.2M | 52.9M | 47.6M | 45.2M | |
Change To Netincome | (30.5M) | (11.4M) | 51.2M | (8.8M) | (10.2M) | (9.7M) | |
Investments | (33.2M) | (75M) | 107.2M | (134.4M) | (121.0M) | (114.9M) |
Ambow Education Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ambow Education or Diversified Consumer Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ambow Education's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ambow stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 1.40 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -1.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 17.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Ambow Education Volatility Alert
Ambow Education Holding is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ambow Education's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ambow Education's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Ambow Education Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Ambow Education's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ambow Education's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ambow Education and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ambow Education or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ambow Education's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ambow Education by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Ambow Education to competition |
Fundamentals | Ambow Education | Peer Average |
Return On Equity | -0.78 | -0.31 |
Return On Asset | -0.0466 | -0.14 |
Profit Margin | (0.18) % | (1.27) % |
Operating Margin | (0.28) % | (5.51) % |
Current Valuation | 13.81 M | 16.62 B |
Shares Outstanding | 2.84 M | 571.82 M |
Shares Owned By Institutions | 1.04 % | 39.21 % |
Number Of Shares Shorted | 23.15 K | 4.71 M |
Price To Earning | 13.25 X | 28.72 X |
Price To Book | 0.60 X | 9.51 X |
Price To Sales | 0.43 X | 11.42 X |
Revenue | 102.35 M | 9.43 B |
Gross Profit | (581 K) | 27.38 B |
EBITDA | (57.46 M) | 3.9 B |
Net Income | (63.82 M) | 570.98 M |
Cash And Equivalents | 140.33 M | 2.7 B |
Cash Per Share | 5.39 X | 5.01 X |
Total Debt | 75.81 M | 5.32 B |
Debt To Equity | 4.45 % | 48.70 % |
Current Ratio | 0.68 X | 2.16 X |
Book Value Per Share | 2.60 X | 1.93 K |
Cash Flow From Operations | (63.79 M) | 971.22 M |
Short Ratio | 0.05 X | 4.00 X |
Earnings Per Share | (2.54) X | 3.12 X |
Target Price | 55.39 | |
Number Of Employees | 65 | 18.84 K |
Beta | 0.61 | -0.15 |
Market Capitalization | 4.48 M | 19.03 B |
Total Asset | 175.99 M | 29.47 B |
Retained Earnings | (3.51 B) | 9.33 B |
Working Capital | 27.03 M | 1.48 B |
Current Asset | 265.25 M | 9.34 B |
Current Liabilities | 230.34 M | 7.9 B |
Ambow Education Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ambow . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Ambow Education Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Ambow Education Holding? Buying financial instruments such as Ambow Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Other Current Liabilities | 410.4M | 29.4M | 26.5M | 25.1M | Total Assets | 970.2M | 176.0M | 158.4M | 150.5M |
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Check out Ambow Education Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Ambow Education Holding information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ambow Education's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
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When running Ambow Education's price analysis, check to measure Ambow Education's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ambow Education is operating at the current time. Most of Ambow Education's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ambow Education's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ambow Education's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ambow Education to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ambow Education's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ambow Education. If investors know Ambow will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ambow Education listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.361 | Earnings Share (2.54) | Revenue Per Share 3.895 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.45) | Return On Assets (0.05) |
The market value of Ambow Education Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ambow that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ambow Education's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ambow Education's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ambow Education's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ambow Education's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ambow Education's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ambow Education is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ambow Education's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.