American International Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AIG Stock  USD 78.17  0.17  0.22%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding American International Group is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides American International buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AIG positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of American International's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting American International's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
80.51
Target Price
72.07
Hype Value
78.44
Market Value
78.17
Naive Value
77.25
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell American International Group given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards American International. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for American International Group, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out American International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as American and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards American International Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Execute American International Buy or Sell Advice

The American recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on American International Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in American International Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute American International's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell American InternationalBuy American International
Strong Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon American International Group has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1474, Jensen Alpha of 0.1787, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0238, Sortino Ratio of 0.1266 and Treynor Ratio of 0.4391
Macroaxis provides unbiased investment recommendation on American International that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on American International Group. Our trade advice engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure American International is not overpriced, please confirm all American International fundamentals, including its current valuation, price to book, cash and equivalents, as well as the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and gross profit . Given that American International has a price to earning of 3.62 X, we suggest you to validate American International Group market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

American International Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company has 22.39 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.74, which is OK given its current industry classification. American International has a current ratio of 0.77, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist American International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, American International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like American International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for American to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about American International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 93.0% of American International shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: EverQuote Up 3.7 percent Since Last Earnings Report Can It Continue

American International Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of American International's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of American International's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of American International daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use American International Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of American International returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for American International.
Mean Return
0.26
Value At Risk
-1.32
Potential Upside
1.64
Standard Deviation
1.01
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of American International historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

American Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as American International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American International Group backward and forwards among themselves. American International's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase American International's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
11.4 M
Norges Bank2023-12-31
11 M
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
10.9 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
10.4 M
Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
9.8 M
Putnam Investments Llc2023-12-31
8.2 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
8.1 M
Barrow Hanley Mewhinney & Strauss Llc2023-12-31
7.8 M
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
7.3 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
72 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
62.6 M
Note, although American International's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

American International Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(71M)(57M)(803M)(211M)(12M)(11.4M)
Free Cash Flow(4.6B)2.9B5.5B4.2B3.5B4.7B
Other Non Cash Items(37M)7.0B(6.6B)(186M)1.7B1.6B
Dividends Paid1.1B1.1B1.1B1.0B(1.0B)(974.7M)
Capital Expenditures6.0B3.7B1.8B746M2.7B2.5B
Net Income4.2B(5.8B)9.9B11.3B3.9B4.1B
End Period Cash Flow3.3B3.2B2.4B2.2B2.2B1.8B
Depreciation5.0B4.1B4.6B4.8B4.2B4.3B
Change To Netincome(5.1B)6.9B(3.6B)(7.1B)(6.4B)(6.0B)
Investments342M(5.3B)(11.3B)(3.2B)(5.4B)(5.2B)
Net Borrowings679M(655M)(4.2B)(478M)(549.7M)(577.2M)

American International Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to American International or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that American International's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a American stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.18
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.57
σ
Overall volatility
1.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

American International Volatility Alert

American International Group has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of 0.44, Maximum Drawdown of 5.09 and kurtosis of 1.04. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure American International's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact American International's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

American International Implied Volatility

American International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of American International Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if American International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that American International stock will not fluctuate a lot when American International's options are near their expiration.

American International Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing American International's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze American International's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between American International and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as American International or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of American International's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American International by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare American International to competition
FundamentalsAmerican InternationalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0819-0.31
Return On Asset0.0056-0.14
Profit Margin0.08 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.11) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation73.42 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding680.95 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.28 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions92.76 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted7.17 M4.71 M
Price To Earning3.62 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.17 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.13 X11.42 X
Revenue47.25 B9.43 B
Gross Profit24.97 B27.38 B
EBITDA3.88 B3.9 B
Net Income3.88 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents16.82 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share22.64 X5.01 X
Total Debt22.39 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.74 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.79 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share65.13 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations6.24 B971.22 M
Short Ratio1.65 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.98 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.55 X4.89 X
Target Price79.13
Number Of Employees25 K18.84 K
Beta1.03-0.15
Market Capitalization52.7 B19.03 B
Total Asset539.31 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings37.52 B9.33 B
Z Score1.628.72
Note: Disposition of 1173 shares by Bailey Donald of American International at 71.95 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

American International Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as American . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About American International Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell American International Group? Buying financial instruments such as American Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total30.2B27.2B22.4B21.3B
Total Assets596.1B526.6B539.3B466.0B

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In addition to having American International in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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When determining whether American International is a strong investment it is important to analyze American International's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact American International's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding American Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out American International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

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When running American International's price analysis, check to measure American International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American International is operating at the current time. Most of American International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is American International's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American International. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.84)
Dividend Share
1.4
Earnings Share
4.98
Revenue Per Share
64.882
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.13)
The market value of American International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.