Ashford Hospitality Trust Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AHT Stock | USD 1.32 0.01 0.76% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Ashford Hospitality Trust is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Ashford Hospitality buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AHT positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Ashford Hospitality's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Ashford Hospitality's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 2.22 | Target Price 5 | Hype Value 1.32 | Market Value 1.32 | Naive Value 1.28 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Ashford Hospitality Trust given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Ashford Hospitality. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Ashford Hospitality Trust, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Ashford |
Execute Ashford Hospitality Buy or Sell Advice
The Ashford recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ashford Hospitality Trust. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ashford Hospitality Trust or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ashford Hospitality's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Dangerous | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Above Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Ashford Hospitality Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Ashford Hospitality generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ashford Hospitality has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Ashford Hospitality may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Ashford Hospitality has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.37 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (178.49 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 296.93 M. | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Ashford Hospitality announces CEO succession plan |
Ashford Hospitality Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Ashford Hospitality's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ashford Hospitality's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ashford Hospitality daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ashford Hospitality Trust price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ashford Hospitality returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ashford Hospitality.
| Mean Return | 0.04 | Value At Risk | -7.69 | Potential Upside | 8.43 | Standard Deviation | 5.23 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ashford Hospitality historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Ashford Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Ashford Hospitality is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ashford Hospitality Trust backward and forwards among themselves. Ashford Hospitality's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Ashford Hospitality's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Millennium Management Llc | 2023-09-30 | 232.1 K | Fmr Inc | 2023-09-30 | 174.2 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-09-30 | 128.2 K | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2023-09-30 | 113.3 K | Group One Trading, Lp | 2023-09-30 | 99.4 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-09-30 | 72.7 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-09-30 | 61.6 K | Public Employees Retirement System Of Ohio | 2023-09-30 | 51.7 K | Asset Management One Co., Ltd. | 2023-12-31 | 47.1 K | Varde Management Lp | 2023-09-30 | 2.2 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-09-30 | 1.9 M |
Ashford Hospitality Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (41.6M) | (230.9M) | 524.3M | (132.6M) | (247.7M) | (235.3M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 176.7M | (164.9M) | (144.3M) | 39.2M | (123.0M) | (129.2M) | |
| Depreciation | 268.7M | 252.5M | 219.0M | 201.9M | 187.8M | 167.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 40.9M | 65.1M | (27.7M) | (2.1M) | (32.8M) | (31.2M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 86.2M | 28.6M | 18.6M | 12.4M | (14.9M) | (14.2M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 475K | 15.4M | 90K | 103.8M | 137.4M | 160.0M | |
| Net Income | (142.7M) | (633.2M) | (271.0M) | (141.1M) | (178.5M) | (169.6M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 398.2M | 167.3M | 691.6M | 559.0M | 311.3M | 251.1M | |
| Change To Inventory | 4.2M | (143.2M) | 28.9M | 7.3M | 8.4M | 8.9M | |
| Investments | 11.1M | (7.6M) | (9M) | (5.1M) | (107.9M) | (102.5M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 121.7M | (49.8M) | 187.9M | (92.5M) | (83.3M) | (79.1M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 14.3M | (25.1M) | (21.4M) | 9.4M | 10.8M | 11.4M |
Ashford Hospitality Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ashford Hospitality or Diversified REITs sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ashford Hospitality's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ashford stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0055 |
Ashford Hospitality Volatility Alert
Ashford Hospitality Trust exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ashford Hospitality's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ashford Hospitality's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Ashford Hospitality Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Ashford Hospitality's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ashford Hospitality's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ashford Hospitality and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ashford Hospitality or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ashford Hospitality's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ashford Hospitality by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Ashford Hospitality to competition |
| Fundamentals | Ashford Hospitality | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -22.6 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.02 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.13) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.04 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.45 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 39.71 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.47 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 29.72 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.78 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (4.98) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.32 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.05 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.37 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 296.93 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 262.72 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (178.49 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 417.06 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 15.91 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 3.46 B | 5.32 B |
| Current Ratio | 4.03 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (9.24) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 14.39 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.79 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (5.61) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (1.28) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 3.83 | |
| Beta | 2.2 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 57.01 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.46 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (2.73 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 219.85 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 433.64 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 159.82 M | 7.9 B |
Note: Disposition of 110 shares by Benjamin Ansell of Ashford Hospitality at 7.69 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Ashford Hospitality Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ashford . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Ashford Hospitality Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Ashford Hospitality Trust? Buying financial instruments such as Ashford Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Net Debt | 3.3B | 3.5B | 3.2B | 2.5B | Other Liabilities | 7.0M | 6.3M | 5.7M | 5.4M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Ashford Hospitality in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Chemicals Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Ashford Hospitality Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Ashford Hospitality Trust information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ashford Hospitality's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Complementary Tools for Ashford Stock analysis
When running Ashford Hospitality's price analysis, check to measure Ashford Hospitality's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ashford Hospitality is operating at the current time. Most of Ashford Hospitality's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ashford Hospitality's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ashford Hospitality's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ashford Hospitality to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ashford Hospitality's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ashford Hospitality. If investors know Ashford will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ashford Hospitality listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (5.61) | Revenue Per Share 39.579 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.007 | Return On Assets 0.02 | Return On Equity (22.60) |
The market value of Ashford Hospitality Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ashford that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ashford Hospitality's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ashford Hospitality's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ashford Hospitality's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ashford Hospitality's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ashford Hospitality's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ashford Hospitality is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ashford Hospitality's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.