Agnc Investment Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AGNC Stock | USD 9.04 0.08 0.89% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding AGNC Investment Corp is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides AGNC Investment buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AGNC positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of AGNC Investment's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting AGNC Investment's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 8.31 | Target Price 10.61 | Hype Value 9.04 | Market Value 9.04 | Naive Value 8.77 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell AGNC Investment Corp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards AGNC Investment. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for AGNC Investment Corp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
AGNC |
Execute AGNC Investment Buy or Sell Advice
The AGNC recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AGNC Investment Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AGNC Investment Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AGNC Investment's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
AGNC Investment Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| AGNC Investment Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company currently holds 80 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.76, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. AGNC Investment Corp has a current ratio of 0.23, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist AGNC Investment until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AGNC Investment's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AGNC Investment Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AGNC to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AGNC Investment's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| AGNC Investment Corp currently holds about 9.4 B in cash with (118 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 16.45, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| On 9th of April 2024 AGNC Investment paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Analysts Estimate Annaly Capital Management to Report a Decline in Earnings What to Look Out for |
AGNC Investment Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of AGNC Investment's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of AGNC Investment's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AGNC Investment daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AGNC Investment Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AGNC Investment returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AGNC Investment.
| Mean Return | -0.1 | Value At Risk | -2.4 | Potential Upside | 1.77 | Standard Deviation | 1.32 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AGNC Investment historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
AGNC Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as AGNC Investment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AGNC Investment Corp backward and forwards among themselves. AGNC Investment's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase AGNC Investment's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 4.3 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2023-12-31 | 4 M | Vaughan Nelson Scarbrgh & Mccullough Lp | 2023-12-31 | 3.9 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 3.4 M | Grs Advisors, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 3.3 M | Schonfeld Strategic Advisors Llc | 2023-09-30 | 3 M | Van Eck Associates Corporation | 2023-12-31 | 2.6 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 2.4 M | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 2.4 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 63.4 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 36.1 M |
AGNC Investment Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (238M) | 1.0B | (799M) | 809M | (563M) | (534.9M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 1.2B | 1.7B | 1.5B | 1.0B | (118M) | (112.1M) | |
| Depreciation | 601M | 1.1B | 369M | 13M | 201M | 379.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 523M | 2.1B | 818M | 2.1B | (485M) | (460.8M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.1B | 970M | 860M | 869M | (1.0B) | (954.8M) | |
| Net Income | 688M | (266M) | 749M | (1.2B) | 155M | 269.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.3B | 2.3B | 1.5B | 2.3B | 1.8B | 1.5B | |
| Investments | (14.2B) | 20.4B | (9.7B) | 11.2B | (14.7B) | (13.9B) | |
| Net Borrowings | 13.4B | (36.9B) | (5.0B) | (11.1B) | (10.0B) | (9.5B) | |
| Change To Netincome | 536M | (1.1B) | 76M | 2.1B | 2.4B | 2.5B |
AGNC Investment Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AGNC Investment or Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AGNC Investment's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AGNC stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
AGNC Investment Volatility Alert
AGNC Investment Corp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.78 and kurtosis of 1.89. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AGNC Investment's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AGNC Investment's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.AGNC Investment Implied Volatility
AGNC Investment's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of AGNC Investment Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if AGNC Investment's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that AGNC Investment stock will not fluctuate a lot when AGNC Investment's options are near their expiration.
AGNC Investment Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing AGNC Investment's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze AGNC Investment's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between AGNC Investment and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as AGNC Investment or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of AGNC Investment's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AGNC Investment by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare AGNC Investment to competition |
| Fundamentals | AGNC Investment | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0192 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0025 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.62 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.94 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 46.53 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 695.68 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.49 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 41.18 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 51.65 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 1.74 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.98 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 25.80 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 251 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (1.12 B) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 691 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 155 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 9.4 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 16.45 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 80 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 5.76 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.23 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 9.54 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (118 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.99 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.05 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 17.55 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 10.09 | |
| Number Of Employees | 53 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.45 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 6.35 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 71.6 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (8.15 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (43.95 B) | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 15068 shares by Bernice Bell of AGNC Investment at 9.56 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
AGNC Investment Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AGNC . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About AGNC Investment Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell AGNC Investment Corp? Buying financial instruments such as AGNC Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 126M | 95M | 80M | 76M | Total Assets | 68.1B | 51.7B | 71.6B | 69.0B |
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Check out AGNC Investment Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
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When running AGNC Investment's price analysis, check to measure AGNC Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AGNC Investment is operating at the current time. Most of AGNC Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AGNC Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AGNC Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AGNC Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is AGNC Investment's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AGNC Investment. If investors know AGNC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AGNC Investment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.40) | Dividend Share 1.44 | Earnings Share 0.05 | Revenue Per Share 0.406 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.23) |
The market value of AGNC Investment Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AGNC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AGNC Investment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AGNC Investment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AGNC Investment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AGNC Investment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AGNC Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AGNC Investment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AGNC Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.