Aegon Nv Adr Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AEG Stock  USD 6.08  0.04  0.66%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Aegon NV ADR is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Aegon NV buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Aegon NV positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Aegon NV's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Aegon NV's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
5.65
Target Price
5.36
Hype Value
6.08
Market Value
6.08
Naive Value
6.07
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Aegon NV ADR given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Aegon NV. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Aegon NV ADR, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Aegon NV Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Aegon and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Aegon NV ADR. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.

Execute Aegon NV Buy or Sell Advice

The Aegon recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aegon NV ADR. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aegon NV ADR or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aegon NV's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Aegon NVBuy Aegon NV
Strong Buy

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Aegon NV ADR has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0528, Jensen Alpha of 0.0278, Total Risk Alpha of (0.18), Sortino Ratio of (0.02) and Treynor Ratio of 0.1777
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Aegon NV ADR. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Aegon NV is not overpriced, please confirm all Aegon NV ADR fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, gross profit, debt to equity, as well as the relationship between the price to book and cash and equivalents . Given that Aegon NV ADR has a price to sales of 0.32 X, we suggest you to validate Aegon NV ADR market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Aegon NV Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Reported Net Loss for the year was (922 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.25 B.
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: River Sea Network and Pearl Street Capital Partners Form Aligned Exteriors Group, a Residential Roofing and Exterior Services Platform

Aegon NV Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Aegon NV's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aegon NV's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aegon NV daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aegon NV ADR price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aegon NV returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aegon NV.
Mean Return
0.10
Value At Risk
-1.55
Potential Upside
1.56
Standard Deviation
1.20
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aegon NV historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Aegon Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Aegon NV is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aegon NV ADR backward and forwards among themselves. Aegon NV's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Aegon NV's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
760 K
American Century Companies Inc2023-12-31
732.3 K
Wells Fargo & Co2023-12-31
615.8 K
Cibc World Markets Inc.2023-12-31
521.5 K
Sei Investments Co2023-12-31
500.3 K
U.s. Bancorp2023-12-31
381 K
Stifel Financial Corp2023-12-31
347.7 K
Old Mission Capital Llc2023-12-31
343.4 K
Bank Of America Corp2023-12-31
324.9 K
Dodge & Cox2023-12-31
125 M
Wellington Management Company Llp2023-12-31
13.5 M
Note, although Aegon NV's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Aegon NV Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash3.5B(3.9B)(1.5B)1.6B1.4B1.5B
Free Cash Flow7.2B(3.0B)(1.9B)2.8B2.5B3.7B
Depreciation1.2B722M1.2B1.2B1.3B1.2B
Other Non Cash Items(24.6B)(23.0B)(12.7B)63.4B57.1B60.0B
Dividends Paid309M63M121M167M150.3M227.2M
Capital Expenditures148M120M112M98M112.7M109.0M
Net Income1.5B(364M)2.4B(922M)(829.8M)(788.3M)
End Period Cash Flow12.3B8.4B6.9B8.5B9.8B5.9B
Investments(86M)(139M)(2M)616M708.4M743.8M
Net Borrowings(2.1B)(541M)855M(566M)(509.4M)(534.9M)
Change To Netincome(24.7B)(20.8B)(14.8B)61.9B71.1B74.7B

Aegon NV Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aegon NV or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aegon NV's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aegon stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.52
σ
Overall volatility
1.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Aegon NV Volatility Alert

Aegon NV ADR has relatively low volatility with skewness of -1.83 and kurtosis of 7.59. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aegon NV's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aegon NV's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Aegon NV Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Aegon NV's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aegon NV's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aegon NV and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aegon NV or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aegon NV's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aegon NV by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Aegon NV to competition
FundamentalsAegon NVPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.12-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0031-0.14
Operating Margin(0.08) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation12.59 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.77 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions9.30 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.62 M4.71 M
Price To Earning18.40 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.97 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.32 X11.42 X
Revenue(15.85 B)9.43 B
Gross Profit1.25 B27.38 B
EBITDA(462 M)3.9 B
Net Income(922 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.58 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share10.05 X5.01 X
Total Debt6.67 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.60 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.39 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share5.18 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations2.85 B971.22 M
Short Ratio0.51 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.75) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth14.09 X4.89 X
Target Price6.2
Number Of Employees18.5 K18.84 K
Beta1.2-0.15
Market Capitalization10.77 B19.03 B
Total Asset401.79 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings10.62 B9.33 B
Working Capital44.56 B1.48 B
Current Asset59.37 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities14.8 B7.9 B

Aegon NV Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aegon . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Aegon NV Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Aegon NV ADR? Buying financial instruments such as Aegon Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total12.2B6.7B7.7B7.5B
Total Assets468.3B401.8B462.1B257.8B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Aegon NV in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Transportation Thematic Idea Now

Transportation
Transportation Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Transportation theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Transportation Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Aegon NV ADR is a strong investment it is important to analyze Aegon NV's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Aegon NV's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Aegon Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Aegon NV Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Aegon NV ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Aegon NV's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

Complementary Tools for Aegon Stock analysis

When running Aegon NV's price analysis, check to measure Aegon NV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aegon NV is operating at the current time. Most of Aegon NV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aegon NV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aegon NV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aegon NV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Aegon NV's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aegon NV. If investors know Aegon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aegon NV listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.60)
Dividend Share
0.26
Earnings Share
(0.75)
Revenue Per Share
(6.77)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.09)
The market value of Aegon NV ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aegon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aegon NV's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aegon NV's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aegon NV's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aegon NV's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aegon NV's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aegon NV is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aegon NV's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.