Adams Resources Energy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AE Stock | USD 29.26 0.25 0.86% |
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Adams Resources Energy is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides Adams Resources buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AE positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Adams Resources' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Adams Resources' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 35.71 | Target Price 48 | Hype Value 29.16 | Market Value 29.26 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Adams Resources Energy given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Adams Resources. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Adams Resources Energy, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Adams |
Execute Adams Resources Buy or Sell Advice
The Adams recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Adams Resources Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Adams Resources Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Adams Resources' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Adams Resources Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Adams Resources has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 22nd of March 2024 Adams Resources paid $ 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Adams Resources Energy Trading Up 0.1 percent - Defense World |
Adams Resources Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Adams Resources' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Adams Resources' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Adams Resources daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Adams Resources Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Adams Resources returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Adams Resources.
| Mean Return | 0.36 | Value At Risk | -3.86 | Potential Upside | 4.71 | Standard Deviation | 2.89 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Adams Resources historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Adams Resources Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 5.2M | (70.2M) | 55.3M | (76.3M) | 14.2M | 14.9M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 11.2M | (49.0M) | 68.6M | 6.3M | 18.4M | 19.3M | |
| Depreciation | 16.6M | 18.6M | 19.8M | 22.7M | 27.9M | 29.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (2.0M) | (1.9M) | (753K) | (2.2M) | (6.9M) | (6.6M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 35.7M | 5.0M | 12.4M | 7.5M | 11.9M | 14.0M | |
| Net Income | 8.2M | 995K | 11.9M | 3.5M | 212K | 201.4K | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 122.3M | 52.1M | 107.3M | 31.1M | 45.2M | 38.0M | |
| Change To Inventory | (3.6M) | 4.8M | 394K | (7.3M) | 7.1M | 7.4M | |
| Dividends Paid | 4.0M | 4.1M | 4.1M | 3.8M | 2.5M | 2.2M | |
| Change Receivables | (8.4M) | (5.2M) | (38.0M) | (46.5M) | (41.9M) | (39.8M) | |
| Change To Netincome | (791K) | (1.4M) | (583K) | (1.3M) | (1.2M) | (1.1M) | |
| Investments | (36.0M) | (19.7M) | (10.1M) | (36.0M) | (4.0M) | (4.2M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (1.7M) | (2.3M) | (4.4M) | 22.7M | 26.1M | 27.4M |
Adams Resources Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Adams Resources or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Adams Resources' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Adams stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.35 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.005 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Adams Resources Volatility Alert
Adams Resources Energy currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.09 and Jensen Alpha of 0.35. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Adams Resources' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Adams Resources' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Adams Resources Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Adams Resources' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Adams Resources' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Adams Resources and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Adams Resources or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Adams Resources' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Adams Resources by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Adams Resources to competition |
| Fundamentals | Adams Resources | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0023 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 6.0E-4 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.0001 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.0003) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 95.6 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 2.57 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.42 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 58.43 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 9.69 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 174.35 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.81 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.03 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.75 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 46.2 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 30.26 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 212 K | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 20.53 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 15.47 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 53.6 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.12 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.31 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 36.40 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 30.27 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.90 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.08 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 43.5 | |
| Number Of Employees | 741 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.84 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 74.46 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 361.33 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 70.66 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 21.68 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 176.54 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 710 shares by Kevin Roycraft of Adams Resources subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Adams Resources Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Adams . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Adams Resources Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Adams Resources Energy? Buying financial instruments such as Adams Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 20.5M | 48.6M | 53.6M | 56.3M | Total Assets | 374.7M | 384.2M | 361.3M | 238.4M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Adams Resources in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Printing and Publishing Thematic Idea Now
Printing and Publishing
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Printing and Publishing theme has 20 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Printing and Publishing Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Adams Resources Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Adams Resources Energy information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Adams Resources' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Complementary Tools for Adams Stock analysis
When running Adams Resources' price analysis, check to measure Adams Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Adams Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Adams Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Adams Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Adams Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Adams Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Adams Resources' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Adams Resources. If investors know Adams will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Adams Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.763 | Dividend Share 0.96 | Earnings Share 0.08 | Revenue Per Share 1.1 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of Adams Resources Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Adams that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Adams Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Adams Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Adams Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Adams Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Adams Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Adams Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Adams Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.