Aecom Technology Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ACM Stock  USD 94.01  0.13  0.14%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding Aecom Technology is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Aecom Technology buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ACM positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Aecom Technology's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Aecom Technology's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
96.6
Target Price
99.88
Hype Value
94.02
Market Value
94.01
Naive Value
94.23
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Aecom Technology given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Aecom Technology. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Aecom Technology, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Aecom Technology Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Aecom Stock, please use our How to Invest in Aecom Technology guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Aecom and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Aecom Technology. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

Execute Aecom Technology Buy or Sell Advice

The Aecom recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aecom Technology. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aecom Technology or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aecom Technology's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Aecom TechnologyBuy Aecom Technology
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Aecom Technology has a Mean Deviation of 0.858, Semi Deviation of 1.02, Standard Deviation of 1.08, Variance of 1.17, Downside Variance of 1.31 and Semi Variance of 1.04
Macroaxis provides advice on Aecom Technology to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Aecom Technology. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Aecom Technology is not overpriced, please confirm all Aecom Technology fundamentals, including its price to earning, net income, and the relationship between the shares owned by insiders and revenue . Given that Aecom Technology has a price to earning of 30.81 X, we suggest you to validate Aecom Technology market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Aecom Technology Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Aecom Technology has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from investors.com: IBD Rating Upgrades AECOM Flashes Improved Relative Price Strength

Aecom Technology Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Aecom Technology's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aecom Technology's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aecom Technology daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aecom Technology price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aecom Technology returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aecom Technology.
Mean Return
0.1
Value At Risk
-1.66
Potential Upside
1.75
Standard Deviation
1.08
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aecom Technology historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Aecom Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Aecom Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aecom Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Aecom Technology's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Aecom Technology's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Fmr Inc2023-12-31
M
Starboard Value Lp2023-12-31
1.8 M
Norges Bank2023-12-31
1.7 M
Impax Asset Management Group Plc2023-12-31
1.5 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
1.4 M
Alliancebernstein L.p.2023-12-31
1.4 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
1.3 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
1.2 M
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
1.2 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
17.2 M
Primecap Management Company2023-12-31
14 M
Note, although Aecom Technology's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Aecom Technology Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash737.9M(589.1M)(62.6M)85.4M76.8M54.7M
Free Cash Flow215.0M568.4M576.6M696.0M800.4M840.4M
Other Non Cash Items420.4M255.8M12.7M743.1M854.6M897.3M
Capital Expenditures114.6M136.3M137.0M105.6M121.4M90.1M
Net Income(315.6M)203.0M334.7M100.1M115.2M130.3M
End Period Cash Flow1.8B1.2B1.2B1.3B1.5B744.0M
Depreciation237.4M176.4M170.9M175.7M158.2M150.2M
Dividends Paid4.5B3.6B63.3M96.2M110.6M105.1M
Change To Inventory194.6M123.7M(533.0B)145.4M130.8M137.4M
Change To Netincome330.2M173.9M98.1M415.1M477.3M501.2M
Investments(70.6M)(33.8M)(175.0M)(32.9M)(29.6M)(31.1M)
Net Borrowings(1.4B)115.3M(38.7M)(46.0M)(41.4M)(39.3M)

Aecom Technology Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aecom Technology or Construction & Engineering sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aecom Technology's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aecom stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.0009
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.09
σ
Overall volatility
1.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Aecom Technology Volatility Alert

Aecom Technology has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.0 and kurtosis of -0.26. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aecom Technology's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aecom Technology's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Aecom Technology Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Aecom Technology's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aecom Technology's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aecom Technology and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aecom Technology or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aecom Technology's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aecom Technology by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Aecom Technology to competition
FundamentalsAecom TechnologyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0664-0.31
Return On Asset0.0454-0.14
Profit Margin0 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.05 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation14.63 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding136.02 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.49 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions89.22 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.06 M4.71 M
Price To Earning30.81 X28.72 X
Price To Book5.67 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.85 X11.42 X
Revenue14.38 B9.43 B
Gross Profit945.47 M27.38 B
EBITDA561.15 M3.9 B
Net Income100.14 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.17 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share8.44 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.75 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.13 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.08 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share16.52 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations695.98 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.34 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.90 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.35 X4.89 X
Target Price106.0
Number Of Employees52 K18.84 K
Beta1.23-0.15
Market Capitalization12.79 B19.03 B
Total Asset11.23 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.1 B)9.33 B
Working Capital319.23 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 2297 shares by Daniel Tishman of Aecom Technology subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Aecom Technology Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aecom . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Aecom Technology Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Aecom Technology? Buying financial instruments such as Aecom Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Total Current Assets5.8B5.6B6.5B4.3B
Total Liabilities8.7B9.0B10.4B6.6B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Aecom Technology in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Education Thematic Idea Now

Education
Education Theme
Companies involved in apprenticeship, education, tutoring, schooling, online universities, and other learning services. The Education theme has 39 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Education Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Aecom Technology is a strong investment it is important to analyze Aecom Technology's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Aecom Technology's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Aecom Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Aecom Technology Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Aecom Stock, please use our How to Invest in Aecom Technology guide.
Note that the Aecom Technology information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Aecom Technology's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

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Is Aecom Technology's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aecom Technology. If investors know Aecom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aecom Technology listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.112
Dividend Share
0.76
Earnings Share
0.9
Revenue Per Share
108.008
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.153
The market value of Aecom Technology is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aecom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aecom Technology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aecom Technology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aecom Technology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aecom Technology's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aecom Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aecom Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aecom Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.