American Airlines Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides American Airlines Group Inc buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding American Airlines positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of American Airlines Group Inc available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from American Airlines buy-and-hold prospective. Check also American Airlines Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Investment Horizon


Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding American Airlines Group Inc is 'Strong Sell'.
For the selected time horizon American Airlines Group Inc has a mean deviation of 1.49, semi deviation of 2.43, standard deviation of 2.09, variance of 4.35, downside variance of 7.7 and semi variance of 5.89
American Airlines buy, hold, or sell suggestion module can be used to check and cross-verify current buy, hold, or sell recommendation provided by analysts analyzing the organization potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure American Airlines is not overpriced, please confirm all American Airlines Group fundamentals including its Current Valuation, Price to Book, Cash and Equivalents, as well as the relationship between Shares Owned by Institutions and Gross Profit . Given that American Airlines Group has Price to Earning of 10.75 times, we suggest you validate American Airlines Group Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.09Value At Risk-3.7194
Potential Upside2.8344Standard Deviation2.0861
 Return Density 
Benchmark  Embed    Distribution 

American Airlines Greeks

Alpha over NYSE
= 0.09 
βBeta against NYSE=(0.44) 
Overall volatility
= 2.09 
 IrInformation ratio = 0.03 

American Airlines Volatility Alert

American Airlines Group Inc currently demonstrates below average downside deviation of 2.78. It has Information Ratio of 0.03 and Jensen Alpha of 0.09. However, we do advice investors to further question American Airlines Group Inc expected returns to make sure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare American Airlines to competition
FundamentalsAmerican AirlinesPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0001 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset16.51 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin18.57 % (5.50) %
Operating Margin16.24 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation45.53 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding630.33 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders0.26 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions73.80 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted34.23 M3.24 M
Price to Earning10.75 times40.69 times
Price to Book5.76 times14.44 times
Price to Sales0.63 times17.81 times
Revenue40.99 B9.85 B
Gross Profit23.91 B21.75 B
EBITDA7.83 B1.41 B
Net Income7.61 B517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents1.08 B3.89 B
Cash per Share13.04 times5.17 times
Total Debt20.56 B7.36 B
Debt to Equity5.32 times0.72 times
Current Ratio0.76 times3.30 times
Book Value Per Share7.30 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations6.25 B1.25 B
Short Ratio4.77 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share9.65 times2.30 times
Price to Earnings To Growth(0.48) times1.22 times
Number of Employees121.8 K10.67 K
Market Capitalization26.69 B29.78 B
Total Asset48.41 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings1.64 B38.24 B
Working Capital(3.62 B)3.58 B
Current Asset9.98 B36.8 B
Strong Sell

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

   Sale by Beverly Goulet of 20000 shares of American Airlines [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance0.0294
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.18)
Mean Deviation1.49
Semi Deviation2.43
Downside Deviation2.78
Coefficient Of Variation2268.48
Standard Deviation2.09
Information Ratio0.0275
Jensen Alpha0.0928
Total Risk Alpha(0.02)
Sortino Ratio0.0207
Treynor Ratio(0.19)
Maximum Drawdown9.02
Value At Risk(3.72)
Potential Upside2.83
Downside Variance7.7
Semi Variance5.89
Expected Short fall(1.35)

Current Valuation

American Airlines Current Valuation Analysis
American Airlines Group Inc is rated third in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Airlines industry is presently estimated at about 169.6 Billion. American Airlines totals roughly 45.53 Billion in current valuation claiming about 27% of stocks in Airlines industry.