American Airlines Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AAL -- USA Stock  

USD 25.83  0.27  1.03%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding American Airlines Group is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides American Airlines buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AAL positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of American Airlines available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from AAL buy-and-hold prospective. Check also American Airlines Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell American AirlinesBuy American Airlines
Strong Hold

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon American Airlines Group has a risk adjusted performance of (0.21), jensen alpha of (0.49), total risk alpha of (0.45), sortino ratio of 0.0 and treynor ratio of (0.46)
Macroaxis buy, hold, or sell recommendation module can be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on American Airlines. Our buy, hold, or sell suggestion engine makes use of analyzes the corporation potential to grow using all fundamental data market data available at the time. To make sure American Airlines is not overpriced, please confirm all American Airlines fundamentals including its Current Valuation, Price to Book, Cash and Equivalents, as well as the relationship between Shares Owned by Institutions and Gross Profit . Given that American Airlines has Price to Earning of 7.62X, we suggest you validate American Airlines Group market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

American Airlines Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

American Airlines generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
American Airlines has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
American Airlines has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments
The company has 34.75B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 638.4 . This implies that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. American Airlines has Current Ratio of 0.48 suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due.
About 40.0% of American Airlines shares are held by company insiders

American Airlines current analysts recommendations

Target Median Price40.00
Target Mean Price39.24
Recommendation Mean2.30
Target High Price55.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions17
Target Low Price26.00

American Airlines Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.52Value At Risk3.96
Potential Upside2.27Standard Deviation2.22
 Return Density 

American Airlines Greeks

Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=1.17
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.22

American Airlines Volatility Alert

American Airlines Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.17 and kurtosis of 2.42. However, we advise investors to further study American Airlines Group technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare American Airlines to competition

American Airlines Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsAmerican AirlinesPeer Average
Return On Equity94.64% (0.31)%
Return On Asset4.01% (0.14)%
Profit Margin3.43% (1.27)%
Operating Margin13.11% (5.51)%
Current Valuation40.82B16.62B
Shares Outstanding460.61M571.82M
Shares Owned by Insiders39.76% 10.09%
Shares Owned by Institutions7.82% 39.21%
Number of Shares Shorted20.61M4.71M
Price to Earning7.62X28.72X
Price to Book5.20X9.51X
Price to Sales0.25X11.42X
Gross Profit12.2B27.38B
Net Income1.54B570.98M
Cash and Equivalents5.41B2.7B
Cash per Share12.14X5.01X
Total Debt34.75B5.32B
Debt to Equity638.40% 48.70%
Current Ratio0.49X2.16X
Book Value Per Share(0.05)X1.93K
Cash Flow from Operations191.75M971.22M
Short Ratio3.52X4.00X
Earnings Per Share3.38X3.12X
Price to Earnings To Growth0.33X4.89X
Number of Employees133.8K18.84K
Market Capitalization11.48B19.03B
Total Asset48.41B29.47B
Retained Earnings573.6M9.33B
Working Capital(3.62B)1.48B
Current Asset9.98B9.34B
   American Airlines exotic insider transaction detected [view details]

American Airlines Market Momentum