Xenia Hotels Resorts Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.88
| XHR Stock | USD 14.32 0.11 0.76% |
Xenia |
Xenia Hotels Target Price Odds to finish below 12.88
The tendency of Xenia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 12.88 or more in 90 days |
| 14.32 | 90 days | 12.88 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xenia Hotels to drop to $ 12.88 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Xenia Hotels Resorts probability density function shows the probability of Xenia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Xenia Hotels Resorts price to stay between $ 12.88 and its current price of $14.32 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.94 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Xenia Hotels has a beta of 0.17. This entails as returns on the market go up, Xenia Hotels average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Xenia Hotels Resorts will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Xenia Hotels Resorts has an alpha of 0.1236, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Xenia Hotels Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Xenia Hotels
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xenia Hotels Resorts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Xenia Hotels' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Xenia Hotels Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xenia Hotels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xenia Hotels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xenia Hotels Resorts, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xenia Hotels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Xenia Hotels Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xenia Hotels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xenia Hotels Resorts can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of April 2024 Xenia Hotels paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Xenia Hotels Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xenia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xenia Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xenia Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 108.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 223.1 M |
Xenia Hotels Technical Analysis
Xenia Hotels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xenia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xenia Hotels Resorts. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xenia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Xenia Hotels Predictive Forecast Models
Xenia Hotels' time-series forecasting models is one of many Xenia Hotels' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xenia Hotels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Xenia Hotels Resorts
Checking the ongoing alerts about Xenia Hotels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xenia Hotels Resorts help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of April 2024 Xenia Hotels paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Check out Xenia Hotels Backtesting, Xenia Hotels Valuation, Xenia Hotels Correlation, Xenia Hotels Hype Analysis, Xenia Hotels Volatility, Xenia Hotels History as well as Xenia Hotels Performance. Note that the Xenia Hotels Resorts information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Xenia Hotels' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Complementary Tools for Xenia Stock analysis
When running Xenia Hotels' price analysis, check to measure Xenia Hotels' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xenia Hotels is operating at the current time. Most of Xenia Hotels' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xenia Hotels' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xenia Hotels' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xenia Hotels to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Xenia Hotels' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xenia Hotels. If investors know Xenia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Xenia Hotels listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Xenia Hotels Resorts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Xenia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Xenia Hotels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Xenia Hotels' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Xenia Hotels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Xenia Hotels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xenia Hotels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xenia Hotels is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xenia Hotels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.