Weis Markets Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 45.77
| WMK Stock | USD 63.85 0.86 1.37% |
Closest to current price Weis long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Weis |
Weis Markets Target Price Odds to finish below 45.77
The tendency of Weis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 45.77 or more in 90 days |
| 63.85 | 90 days | 45.77 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Weis Markets to drop to $ 45.77 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Weis Markets probability density function shows the probability of Weis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Weis Markets price to stay between $ 45.77 and its current price of $63.85 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.36 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Weis Markets has a beta of 0.61. This entails as returns on the market go up, Weis Markets average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Weis Markets will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Weis Markets has an alpha of 0.0448, implying that it can generate a 0.0448 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Weis Markets Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Weis Markets
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Weis Markets. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Weis Markets' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Weis Markets Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Weis Markets is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Weis Markets' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Weis Markets, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Weis Markets within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Weis Markets Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Weis Markets for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Weis Markets can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Weis Markets is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Weis Markets declares 0.34 dividend |
Weis Markets Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Weis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Weis Markets' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Weis Markets' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 436.9 M |
Weis Markets Technical Analysis
Weis Markets' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Weis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Weis Markets. In general, you should focus on analyzing Weis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Weis Markets Predictive Forecast Models
Weis Markets' time-series forecasting models is one of many Weis Markets' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Weis Markets' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Weis Markets
Checking the ongoing alerts about Weis Markets for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Weis Markets help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Weis Markets is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Weis Markets declares 0.34 dividend |
Check out Weis Markets Backtesting, Weis Markets Valuation, Weis Markets Correlation, Weis Markets Hype Analysis, Weis Markets Volatility, Weis Markets History as well as Weis Markets Performance. For more information on how to buy Weis Stock please use our How to buy in Weis Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
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When running Weis Markets' price analysis, check to measure Weis Markets' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Weis Markets is operating at the current time. Most of Weis Markets' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Weis Markets' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Weis Markets' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Weis Markets to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Weis Markets' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Weis Markets. If investors know Weis will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Weis Markets listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.29) | Dividend Share 1.36 | Earnings Share 3.86 | Revenue Per Share 174.618 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
The market value of Weis Markets is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Weis that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Weis Markets' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Weis Markets' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Weis Markets' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Weis Markets' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Weis Markets' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Weis Markets is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Weis Markets' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.