Westcore Small Cap Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 19.25

WISGX Fund  USD 19.39  0.03  0.15%   
Westcore Small-cap's future price is the expected price of Westcore Small-cap instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Westcore Small Cap Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Westcore Small-cap Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Westcore Small-cap Correlation, Westcore Small-cap Hype Analysis, Westcore Small-cap Volatility, Westcore Small-cap History as well as Westcore Small-cap Performance.
  
Please specify Westcore Small-cap's target price for which you would like Westcore Small-cap odds to be computed.

Westcore Small-cap Target Price Odds to finish over 19.25

The tendency of Westcore Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 19.25  in 90 days
 19.39 90 days 19.25 
about 44.48
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Westcore Small-cap to stay above $ 19.25  in 90 days from now is about 44.48 (This Westcore Small Cap Growth probability density function shows the probability of Westcore Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Westcore Small Cap price to stay between $ 19.25  and its current price of $19.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.59 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Westcore Small Cap Growth has a beta of -0.2. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Westcore Small-cap are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Westcore Small Cap Growth is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Westcore Small Cap Growth has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Westcore Small-cap Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Westcore Small-cap

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Westcore Small Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Westcore Small-cap's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.4419.3920.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.8017.7521.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.4519.3920.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.6619.3119.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Westcore Small-cap. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Westcore Small-cap's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Westcore Small-cap's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Westcore Small Cap.

Westcore Small-cap Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Westcore Small-cap is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Westcore Small-cap's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Westcore Small Cap Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Westcore Small-cap within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.2
σ
Overall volatility
0.36
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Westcore Small-cap Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Westcore Small-cap for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Westcore Small Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -4.0%
Westcore Small Cap keeps 95.72% of its net assets in stocks

Westcore Small-cap Technical Analysis

Westcore Small-cap's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Westcore Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Westcore Small Cap Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Westcore Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Westcore Small-cap Predictive Forecast Models

Westcore Small-cap's time-series forecasting models is one of many Westcore Small-cap's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Westcore Small-cap's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Westcore Small Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Westcore Small-cap for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Westcore Small Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -4.0%
Westcore Small Cap keeps 95.72% of its net assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Westcore Mutual Fund

Westcore Small-cap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Westcore Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Westcore with respect to the benefits of owning Westcore Small-cap security.
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