Teton Vertible Securities Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.75
| WESRX Fund | USD 11.78 0.04 0.34% |
Teton |
Teton Convertible Target Price Odds to finish below 11.75
The tendency of Teton Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.75 or more in 90 days |
| 11.78 | 90 days | 11.75 | about 86.43 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Teton Convertible to drop to $ 11.75 or more in 90 days from now is about 86.43 (This Teton Vertible Securities probability density function shows the probability of Teton Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Teton Vertible Securities price to stay between $ 11.75 and its current price of $11.78 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Teton Convertible has a beta of 0.64. This entails as returns on the market go up, Teton Convertible average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Teton Vertible Securities will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Teton Vertible Securities has an alpha of 0.0181, implying that it can generate a 0.0181 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Teton Convertible Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Teton Convertible
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Teton Vertible Securities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Teton Convertible's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Teton Convertible Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Teton Convertible is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Teton Convertible's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Teton Vertible Securities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Teton Convertible within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Teton Convertible Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Teton Convertible for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Teton Vertible Securities can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of -6.0% | |
| Teton Vertible Securities keeps most of the net assets in exotic instruments. |
Teton Convertible Technical Analysis
Teton Convertible's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Teton Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Teton Vertible Securities. In general, you should focus on analyzing Teton Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Teton Convertible Predictive Forecast Models
Teton Convertible's time-series forecasting models is one of many Teton Convertible's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Teton Convertible's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Teton Vertible Securities
Checking the ongoing alerts about Teton Convertible for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Teton Vertible Securities help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of -6.0% | |
| Teton Vertible Securities keeps most of the net assets in exotic instruments. |
Check out Teton Convertible Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Teton Convertible Correlation, Teton Convertible Hype Analysis, Teton Convertible Volatility, Teton Convertible History as well as Teton Convertible Performance. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.