Virtus Etf Chance of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 26.65
| VGFO Etf | USD 26.65 0.16 0.60% |
Virtus |
Virtus Target Price Odds to finish below 26.65
The tendency of Virtus Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 26.65 | 90 days | 26.65 | about 73.92 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Virtus to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 73.92 (This Virtus probability density function shows the probability of Virtus Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Virtus has a beta of 0.27. This entails as returns on the market go up, Virtus average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Virtus will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Virtus has an alpha of 0.1059, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Virtus Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Virtus
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Virtus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Virtus' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Virtus Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Virtus is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Virtus' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Virtus, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Virtus within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.80 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Virtus Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Virtus for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Virtus can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Virtus is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| The fund keeps 99.12% of its net assets in stocks |
Virtus Technical Analysis
Virtus' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Virtus Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Virtus. In general, you should focus on analyzing Virtus Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Virtus Predictive Forecast Models
Virtus' time-series forecasting models is one of many Virtus' etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Virtus' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Virtus
Checking the ongoing alerts about Virtus for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Virtus help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Virtus is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| The fund keeps 99.12% of its net assets in stocks |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. Note that the Virtus information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Virtus' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
The market value of Virtus is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Virtus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Virtus' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Virtus' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Virtus' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Virtus' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Virtus' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Virtus is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Virtus' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.