PFIZER INC Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 92.9
| 717081EX7 | 95.75 0.01 0.01% |
PFIZER |
PFIZER Target Price Odds to finish over 92.9
The tendency of PFIZER Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 92.90 in 90 days |
| 95.75 | 90 days | 92.90 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PFIZER to stay above 92.90 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This PFIZER INC probability density function shows the probability of PFIZER Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PFIZER INC price to stay between 92.90 and its current price of 95.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PFIZER has a beta of 0.0499. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, PFIZER average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PFIZER INC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PFIZER INC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. PFIZER Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for PFIZER
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PFIZER INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PFIZER's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
PFIZER Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PFIZER is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PFIZER's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PFIZER INC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PFIZER within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.0021 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
PFIZER Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PFIZER for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PFIZER INC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PFIZER INC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
PFIZER Technical Analysis
PFIZER's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PFIZER Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PFIZER INC. In general, you should focus on analyzing PFIZER Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PFIZER Predictive Forecast Models
PFIZER's time-series forecasting models is one of many PFIZER's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PFIZER's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PFIZER INC
Checking the ongoing alerts about PFIZER for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PFIZER INC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| PFIZER INC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in PFIZER Bond
PFIZER financial ratios help investors to determine whether PFIZER Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PFIZER with respect to the benefits of owning PFIZER security.