COMCAST P NEW Odds of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 85.65
| 20030NBG5 | 77.68 7.74 9.06% |
COMCAST |
COMCAST Target Price Odds to finish below 85.65
The tendency of COMCAST Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 85.65 after 90 days |
| 77.68 | 90 days | 85.65 | about 52.16 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of COMCAST to stay under 85.65 after 90 days from now is about 52.16 (This COMCAST P NEW probability density function shows the probability of COMCAST Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of COMCAST P NEW price to stay between its current price of 77.68 and 85.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon COMCAST has a beta of 0.78. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, COMCAST average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding COMCAST P NEW will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally COMCAST P NEW has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. COMCAST Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for COMCAST
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as COMCAST P NEW. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of COMCAST's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
COMCAST Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. COMCAST is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the COMCAST's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold COMCAST P NEW, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of COMCAST within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
COMCAST Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of COMCAST for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for COMCAST P NEW can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| COMCAST P NEW generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| COMCAST P NEW has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
COMCAST Technical Analysis
COMCAST's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. COMCAST Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of COMCAST P NEW. In general, you should focus on analyzing COMCAST Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
COMCAST Predictive Forecast Models
COMCAST's time-series forecasting models is one of many COMCAST's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary COMCAST's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about COMCAST P NEW
Checking the ongoing alerts about COMCAST for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for COMCAST P NEW help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| COMCAST P NEW generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| COMCAST P NEW has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Other Information on Investing in COMCAST Bond
COMCAST financial ratios help investors to determine whether COMCAST Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in COMCAST with respect to the benefits of owning COMCAST security.