Income Fund Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.47
| UIINX Fund | USD 11.27 0.03 0.27% |
Income |
Income Fund Target Price Odds to finish over 11.47
The tendency of Income Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 11.47 or more in 90 days |
| 11.27 | 90 days | 11.47 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Income Fund to move over $ 11.47 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Income Fund Income probability density function shows the probability of Income Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Income Fund Income price to stay between its current price of $ 11.27 and $ 11.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.34 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Income Fund has a beta of 0.23. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Income Fund average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Income Fund Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Income Fund Income has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Income Fund Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Income Fund
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Income Fund Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Income Fund's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Income Fund Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Income Fund is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Income Fund's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Income Fund Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Income Fund within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.28 |
Income Fund Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Income Fund for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Income Fund Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% | |
| Income Fund Income keeps about 11.28% of its net assets in bonds |
Income Fund Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Income Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Income Fund's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Income Fund's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Income Fund Technical Analysis
Income Fund's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Income Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Income Fund Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Income Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Income Fund Predictive Forecast Models
Income Fund's time-series forecasting models is one of many Income Fund's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Income Fund's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Income Fund Income
Checking the ongoing alerts about Income Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Income Fund Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% | |
| Income Fund Income keeps about 11.28% of its net assets in bonds |
Check out Income Fund Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Income Fund Correlation, Income Fund Hype Analysis, Income Fund Volatility, Income Fund History as well as Income Fund Performance. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.