Tile Shop Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.49
| TTSH Stock | USD 6.26 0.22 3.40% |
Closest to current price Tile long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Tile |
Tile Shop Target Price Odds to finish below 4.49
The tendency of Tile Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 4.49 or more in 90 days |
| 6.26 | 90 days | 4.49 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tile Shop to drop to $ 4.49 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Tile Shop Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Tile Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tile Shop Holdings price to stay between $ 4.49 and its current price of $6.26 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Tile Shop Holdings has a beta of -0.0514. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tile Shop are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tile Shop Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tile Shop Holdings has an alpha of 0.0422, implying that it can generate a 0.0422 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Tile Shop Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tile Shop
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tile Shop Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tile Shop's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tile Shop Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tile Shop is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tile Shop's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tile Shop Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tile Shop within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Tile Shop Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tile Shop for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tile Shop Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tile Shop Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tile Shop Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Tile Shop Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Mark Davis of 2464 shares of Tile Shop subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Tile Shop Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tile Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tile Shop's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tile Shop's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.6 M |
Tile Shop Technical Analysis
Tile Shop's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tile Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tile Shop Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tile Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tile Shop Predictive Forecast Models
Tile Shop's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tile Shop's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tile Shop's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tile Shop Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tile Shop for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tile Shop Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tile Shop Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tile Shop Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Tile Shop Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Mark Davis of 2464 shares of Tile Shop subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Tile Shop Backtesting, Tile Shop Valuation, Tile Shop Correlation, Tile Shop Hype Analysis, Tile Shop Volatility, Tile Shop History as well as Tile Shop Performance. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Complementary Tools for Tile Stock analysis
When running Tile Shop's price analysis, check to measure Tile Shop's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tile Shop is operating at the current time. Most of Tile Shop's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tile Shop's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tile Shop's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tile Shop to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Tile Shop's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tile Shop. If investors know Tile will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tile Shop listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | Earnings Share 0.21 | Revenue Per Share 8.432 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) | Return On Assets 0.0288 |
The market value of Tile Shop Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tile that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tile Shop's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tile Shop's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tile Shop's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tile Shop's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tile Shop's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tile Shop is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tile Shop's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.