Graniteshares 125x Long Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 6.48

TSL Etf  USD 6.93  0.11  1.61%   
GraniteShares 125x's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on GraniteShares 125x Long. Implied volatility approximates the future value of GraniteShares 125x based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in GraniteShares 125x Long over a specific time period. For example, 2024-06-21 CALL at $6.0 is a CALL option contract on GraniteShares 125x's common stock with a strick price of 6.0 expiring on 2024-06-21. The contract was last traded on 2024-05-22 at 10:57:38 for $1.25 and, as of today, has 21 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.95, and an ask price of $2.75. The implied volatility as of the 31st of May is 187.52. View All GraniteShares options

Closest to current price GraniteShares long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

GraniteShares 125x's future price is the expected price of GraniteShares 125x instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GraniteShares 125x Long performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GraniteShares 125x Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, GraniteShares 125x Correlation, GraniteShares 125x Hype Analysis, GraniteShares 125x Volatility, GraniteShares 125x History as well as GraniteShares 125x Performance.
  
Please specify GraniteShares 125x's target price for which you would like GraniteShares 125x odds to be computed.

GraniteShares 125x Target Price Odds to finish below 6.48

The tendency of GraniteShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 6.48  or more in 90 days
 6.93 90 days 6.48 
about 27.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GraniteShares 125x to drop to $ 6.48  or more in 90 days from now is about 27.4 (This GraniteShares 125x Long probability density function shows the probability of GraniteShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GraniteShares 125x Long price to stay between $ 6.48  and its current price of $6.93 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.6 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon GraniteShares 125x Long has a beta of -0.74. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding GraniteShares 125x are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, GraniteShares 125x Long is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GraniteShares 125x Long has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   GraniteShares 125x Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GraniteShares 125x

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GraniteShares 125x Long. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GraniteShares 125x's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.266.9611.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.596.2910.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.886.5711.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.576.697.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GraniteShares 125x. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GraniteShares 125x's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GraniteShares 125x's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GraniteShares 125x Long.

GraniteShares 125x Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GraniteShares 125x is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GraniteShares 125x's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GraniteShares 125x Long, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GraniteShares 125x within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.18
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.74
σ
Overall volatility
0.62
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

GraniteShares 125x Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GraniteShares 125x for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GraniteShares 125x Long can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GraniteShares 125x generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
GraniteShares 125x has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Trading Signals - Stock Traders Daily

GraniteShares 125x Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GraniteShares Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GraniteShares 125x's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GraniteShares 125x's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

GraniteShares 125x Technical Analysis

GraniteShares 125x's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GraniteShares Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GraniteShares 125x Long. In general, you should focus on analyzing GraniteShares Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GraniteShares 125x Predictive Forecast Models

GraniteShares 125x's time-series forecasting models is one of many GraniteShares 125x's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GraniteShares 125x's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GraniteShares 125x Long

Checking the ongoing alerts about GraniteShares 125x for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GraniteShares 125x Long help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GraniteShares 125x generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
GraniteShares 125x has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Trading Signals - Stock Traders Daily
When determining whether GraniteShares 125x Long is a strong investment it is important to analyze GraniteShares 125x's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact GraniteShares 125x's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding GraniteShares Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out GraniteShares 125x Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, GraniteShares 125x Correlation, GraniteShares 125x Hype Analysis, GraniteShares 125x Volatility, GraniteShares 125x History as well as GraniteShares 125x Performance.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
The market value of GraniteShares 125x Long is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GraniteShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GraniteShares 125x's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GraniteShares 125x's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GraniteShares 125x's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GraniteShares 125x's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GraniteShares 125x's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GraniteShares 125x is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GraniteShares 125x's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.