TPI POLENE (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.83
| TPIPP-R Stock | THB 3.26 0.05 1.51% |
TPI |
TPI POLENE Target Price Odds to finish below 2.83
The tendency of TPI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2.83 or more in 90 days |
| 3.26 | 90 days | 2.83 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TPI POLENE to drop to 2.83 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This TPI POLENE POWER probability density function shows the probability of TPI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TPI POLENE POWER price to stay between 2.83 and its current price of 3.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.48 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TPI POLENE POWER has a beta of -0.0587. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding TPI POLENE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, TPI POLENE POWER is likely to outperform the market. Additionally TPI POLENE POWER has an alpha of 0.0243, implying that it can generate a 0.0243 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). TPI POLENE Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TPI POLENE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TPI POLENE POWER. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TPI POLENE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
TPI POLENE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TPI POLENE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TPI POLENE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TPI POLENE POWER, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TPI POLENE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
TPI POLENE Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TPI POLENE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TPI POLENE POWER can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TPI POLENE POWER generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
TPI POLENE Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TPI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TPI POLENE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TPI POLENE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.30 | |
| Float Shares | 2.5B | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 4.92% |
TPI POLENE Technical Analysis
TPI POLENE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TPI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TPI POLENE POWER. In general, you should focus on analyzing TPI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TPI POLENE Predictive Forecast Models
TPI POLENE's time-series forecasting models is one of many TPI POLENE's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TPI POLENE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TPI POLENE POWER
Checking the ongoing alerts about TPI POLENE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TPI POLENE POWER help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TPI POLENE POWER generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for TPI Stock Analysis
When running TPI POLENE's price analysis, check to measure TPI POLENE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TPI POLENE is operating at the current time. Most of TPI POLENE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TPI POLENE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TPI POLENE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TPI POLENE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.