Cambria Cannabis Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 6.06
| TOKE Etf | USD 6.39 0.01 0.16% |
Closest to current price Cambria long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Cambria |
Cambria Cannabis Target Price Odds to finish over 6.06
The tendency of Cambria Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 6.06 in 90 days |
| 6.39 | 90 days | 6.06 | about 35.11 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cambria Cannabis to stay above $ 6.06 in 90 days from now is about 35.11 (This Cambria Cannabis ETF probability density function shows the probability of Cambria Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cambria Cannabis ETF price to stay between $ 6.06 and its current price of $6.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.3 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cambria Cannabis has a beta of 0.49. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Cambria Cannabis average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cambria Cannabis ETF will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cambria Cannabis ETF has an alpha of 0.1652, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Cambria Cannabis Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Cambria Cannabis
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cambria Cannabis ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cambria Cannabis' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cambria Cannabis Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cambria Cannabis is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cambria Cannabis' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cambria Cannabis ETF, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cambria Cannabis within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Cambria Cannabis Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cambria Cannabis for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cambria Cannabis ETF can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from forbes.com: Cannabis ETFs Soar On Reports DEA Plans To Reclassify Marijuana | |
| The fund created three year return of -28.0% | |
| Cambria Cannabis ETF maintains 95.54% of its assets in stocks |
Cambria Cannabis Technical Analysis
Cambria Cannabis' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cambria Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cambria Cannabis ETF. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cambria Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cambria Cannabis Predictive Forecast Models
Cambria Cannabis' time-series forecasting models is one of many Cambria Cannabis' etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cambria Cannabis' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cambria Cannabis ETF
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cambria Cannabis for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cambria Cannabis ETF help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from forbes.com: Cannabis ETFs Soar On Reports DEA Plans To Reclassify Marijuana | |
| The fund created three year return of -28.0% | |
| Cambria Cannabis ETF maintains 95.54% of its assets in stocks |
Check out Cambria Cannabis Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Cambria Cannabis Correlation, Cambria Cannabis Hype Analysis, Cambria Cannabis Volatility, Cambria Cannabis History as well as Cambria Cannabis Performance. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
The market value of Cambria Cannabis ETF is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cambria that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cambria Cannabis' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cambria Cannabis' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cambria Cannabis' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cambria Cannabis' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cambria Cannabis' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cambria Cannabis is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cambria Cannabis' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.