Trabzon Liman (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 141.2

TLMAN Stock  TRY 136.00  8.70  6.83%   
Trabzon Liman's future price is the expected price of Trabzon Liman instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Trabzon Liman Isletmeciligi performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trabzon Liman Backtesting, Trabzon Liman Valuation, Trabzon Liman Correlation, Trabzon Liman Hype Analysis, Trabzon Liman Volatility, Trabzon Liman History as well as Trabzon Liman Performance.
  
Please specify Trabzon Liman's target price for which you would like Trabzon Liman odds to be computed.

Trabzon Liman Target Price Odds to finish over 141.2

The tendency of Trabzon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  141.20  or more in 90 days
 136.00 90 days 141.20 
nearly 4.2
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trabzon Liman to move over  141.20  or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.2 (This Trabzon Liman Isletmeciligi probability density function shows the probability of Trabzon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Trabzon Liman Isletm price to stay between its current price of  136.00  and  141.20  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.39 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Trabzon Liman Isletmeciligi has a beta of -0.86. This usually implies Additionally Trabzon Liman Isletmeciligi has an alpha of 0.7236, implying that it can generate a 0.72 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Trabzon Liman Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Trabzon Liman

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trabzon Liman Isletm. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trabzon Liman's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
131.30136.00140.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
103.33108.03149.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
121.66126.36131.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
117.86133.41143.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Trabzon Liman. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Trabzon Liman's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Trabzon Liman's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Trabzon Liman Isletm.

Trabzon Liman Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trabzon Liman is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trabzon Liman's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trabzon Liman Isletmeciligi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trabzon Liman within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.72
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.86
σ
Overall volatility
14.39
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Trabzon Liman Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trabzon Liman for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trabzon Liman Isletm can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trabzon Liman Isletm appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Trabzon Liman Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Trabzon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Trabzon Liman's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trabzon Liman's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares8.3M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day438.03k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month237.97k

Trabzon Liman Technical Analysis

Trabzon Liman's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Trabzon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Trabzon Liman Isletmeciligi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Trabzon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Trabzon Liman Predictive Forecast Models

Trabzon Liman's time-series forecasting models is one of many Trabzon Liman's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Trabzon Liman's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Trabzon Liman Isletm

Checking the ongoing alerts about Trabzon Liman for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Trabzon Liman Isletm help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trabzon Liman Isletm appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Check out Trabzon Liman Backtesting, Trabzon Liman Valuation, Trabzon Liman Correlation, Trabzon Liman Hype Analysis, Trabzon Liman Volatility, Trabzon Liman History as well as Trabzon Liman Performance.
You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

Complementary Tools for Trabzon Stock analysis

When running Trabzon Liman's price analysis, check to measure Trabzon Liman's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trabzon Liman is operating at the current time. Most of Trabzon Liman's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trabzon Liman's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trabzon Liman's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trabzon Liman to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm
Odds Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Please note, there is a significant difference between Trabzon Liman's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Trabzon Liman is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Trabzon Liman's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.