Teradyne Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 118.58

TER Stock  USD 141.02  0.08  0.06%   
Teradyne's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Teradyne. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Teradyne based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Teradyne over a specific time period. For example, 2024-06-21 CALL at $140.0 is a CALL option contract on Teradyne's common stock with a strick price of 140.0 expiring on 2024-06-21. The contract was last traded on 2024-06-03 at 11:23:19 for $4.35 and, as of today, has 17 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $4.6, and an ask price of $4.9. The implied volatility as of the 4th of June is 33.47. View All Teradyne options

Closest to current price Teradyne long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Teradyne's future price is the expected price of Teradyne instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Teradyne performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Teradyne Backtesting, Teradyne Valuation, Teradyne Correlation, Teradyne Hype Analysis, Teradyne Volatility, Teradyne History as well as Teradyne Performance.
To learn how to invest in Teradyne Stock, please use our How to Invest in Teradyne guide.
  
At this time, Teradyne's Price To Sales Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 06/04/2024, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 39.18, while Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to drop 17.35. Please specify Teradyne's target price for which you would like Teradyne odds to be computed.

Teradyne Target Price Odds to finish below 118.58

The tendency of Teradyne Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 118.58  or more in 90 days
 141.02 90 days 118.58 
about 59.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Teradyne to drop to $ 118.58  or more in 90 days from now is about 59.07 (This Teradyne probability density function shows the probability of Teradyne Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Teradyne price to stay between $ 118.58  and its current price of $141.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.68 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.02 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Teradyne will likely underperform. Additionally Teradyne has an alpha of 0.4366, implying that it can generate a 0.44 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Teradyne Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Teradyne

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Teradyne. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Teradyne's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
138.13140.61143.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
135.50137.98155.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
132.96135.43137.91
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
110.78121.74135.13
Details

Teradyne Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Teradyne is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Teradyne's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Teradyne, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Teradyne within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.44
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.02
σ
Overall volatility
13.76
Ir
Information ratio 0.19

Teradyne Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Teradyne for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Teradyne can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Teradyne is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from investing.com: Goldman Sachs updates U.S. Conviction List, adds five stocks

Teradyne Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Teradyne Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Teradyne's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Teradyne's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding164.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments819.7 M

Teradyne Technical Analysis

Teradyne's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Teradyne Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Teradyne. In general, you should focus on analyzing Teradyne Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Teradyne Predictive Forecast Models

Teradyne's time-series forecasting models is one of many Teradyne's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Teradyne's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Teradyne

Checking the ongoing alerts about Teradyne for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Teradyne help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Teradyne is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from investing.com: Goldman Sachs updates U.S. Conviction List, adds five stocks

Additional Tools for Teradyne Stock Analysis

When running Teradyne's price analysis, check to measure Teradyne's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Teradyne is operating at the current time. Most of Teradyne's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Teradyne's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Teradyne's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Teradyne to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.