Comscore Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.27
| SCOR Stock | USD 13.78 0.22 1.57% |
Closest to current price Comscore long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Comscore |
Comscore Target Price Odds to finish below 11.27
The tendency of Comscore Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.27 or more in 90 days |
| 13.78 | 90 days | 11.27 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Comscore to drop to $ 11.27 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Comscore probability density function shows the probability of Comscore Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Comscore price to stay between $ 11.27 and its current price of $13.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.84 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Comscore has a beta of 0.42. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Comscore average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Comscore will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Comscore has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Comscore Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Comscore
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Comscore. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Comscore's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Comscore Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Comscore is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Comscore's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Comscore, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Comscore within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.39 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Comscore Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Comscore for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Comscore can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Comscore generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Comscore has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company currently holds 46.98 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.14, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Comscore has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Comscore until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Comscore's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Comscore sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Comscore to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Comscore's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 371.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (79.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 174.16 M. | |
| About 27.0% of Comscore outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Assemble Gnrale Mixte de SCOR du 17 mai 2024 Les actionnaires de SCOR adoptent toutes les rsolutions proposes, lheure o SCOR renforce encore davantage sa stratgie en faveur du dveloppement durable |
Comscore Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Comscore Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Comscore's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Comscore's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 22.9 M |
Comscore Technical Analysis
Comscore's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Comscore Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Comscore. In general, you should focus on analyzing Comscore Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Comscore Predictive Forecast Models
Comscore's time-series forecasting models is one of many Comscore's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Comscore's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Comscore
Checking the ongoing alerts about Comscore for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Comscore help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Comscore generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Comscore has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company currently holds 46.98 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.14, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Comscore has a current ratio of 0.59, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Comscore until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Comscore's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Comscore sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Comscore to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Comscore's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 371.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (79.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 174.16 M. | |
| About 27.0% of Comscore outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Assemble Gnrale Mixte de SCOR du 17 mai 2024 Les actionnaires de SCOR adoptent toutes les rsolutions proposes, lheure o SCOR renforce encore davantage sa stratgie en faveur du dveloppement durable |
Check out Comscore Backtesting, Comscore Valuation, Comscore Correlation, Comscore Hype Analysis, Comscore Volatility, Comscore History as well as Comscore Performance. To learn how to invest in Comscore Stock, please use our How to Invest in Comscore guide.You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
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When running Comscore's price analysis, check to measure Comscore's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Comscore is operating at the current time. Most of Comscore's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Comscore's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Comscore's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Comscore to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Comscore's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Comscore. If investors know Comscore will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Comscore listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (18.30) | Revenue Per Share 75.399 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) | Return On Assets 0.0168 | Return On Equity (0.25) |
The market value of Comscore is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Comscore that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Comscore's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Comscore's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Comscore's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Comscore's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Comscore's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Comscore is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Comscore's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.