Swisscom (Switzerland) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 503.5
| SCMN Stock | CHF 499.20 3.80 0.76% |
Swisscom |
Swisscom Target Price Odds to finish over 503.5
The tendency of Swisscom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over ₣ 503.50 or more in 90 days |
| 499.20 | 90 days | 503.50 | about 46.93 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Swisscom to move over ₣ 503.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 46.93 (This Swisscom AG probability density function shows the probability of Swisscom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Swisscom AG price to stay between its current price of ₣ 499.20 and ₣ 503.50 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.72 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Swisscom AG has a beta of -0.11. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Swisscom are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Swisscom AG is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Swisscom AG has an alpha of 0.0838, implying that it can generate a 0.0838 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Swisscom Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Swisscom
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Swisscom AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Swisscom's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Swisscom Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Swisscom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Swisscom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Swisscom AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Swisscom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 14.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Swisscom Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Swisscom for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Swisscom AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has accumulated 7.63 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.91, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Swisscom AG has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Swisscom until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Swisscom's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Swisscom AG sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Swisscom to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Swisscom's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 51.0% of Swisscom outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Swisscom Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Swisscom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Swisscom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Swisscom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 51.8 M |
Swisscom Technical Analysis
Swisscom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Swisscom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Swisscom AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Swisscom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Swisscom Predictive Forecast Models
Swisscom's time-series forecasting models is one of many Swisscom's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Swisscom's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Swisscom AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about Swisscom for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Swisscom AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has accumulated 7.63 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.91, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Swisscom AG has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Swisscom until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Swisscom's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Swisscom AG sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Swisscom to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Swisscom's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 51.0% of Swisscom outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Swisscom Backtesting, Swisscom Valuation, Swisscom Correlation, Swisscom Hype Analysis, Swisscom Volatility, Swisscom History as well as Swisscom Performance. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Complementary Tools for Swisscom Stock analysis
When running Swisscom's price analysis, check to measure Swisscom's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Swisscom is operating at the current time. Most of Swisscom's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Swisscom's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Swisscom's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Swisscom to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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