Prosegur (Spain) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.71
| PSG Stock | EUR 1.82 0.01 0.55% |
Prosegur |
Prosegur Target Price Odds to finish over 1.71
The tendency of Prosegur Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 1.71 in 90 days |
| 1.82 | 90 days | 1.71 | about 41.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Prosegur to stay above € 1.71 in 90 days from now is about 41.6 (This Prosegur probability density function shows the probability of Prosegur Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Prosegur price to stay between € 1.71 and its current price of €1.82 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Prosegur has a beta of -0.0102 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Prosegur are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Prosegur is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Prosegur has an alpha of 0.019, implying that it can generate a 0.019 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Prosegur Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Prosegur
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prosegur. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Prosegur's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Prosegur Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Prosegur is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Prosegur's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Prosegur, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Prosegur within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Prosegur Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Prosegur for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Prosegur can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Prosegur may become a speculative penny stock | |
| About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Prosegur Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Prosegur Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Prosegur's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Prosegur's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 539.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 585.9 M |
Prosegur Technical Analysis
Prosegur's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Prosegur Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Prosegur. In general, you should focus on analyzing Prosegur Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Prosegur Predictive Forecast Models
Prosegur's time-series forecasting models is one of many Prosegur's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Prosegur's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Prosegur
Checking the ongoing alerts about Prosegur for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Prosegur help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Prosegur may become a speculative penny stock | |
| About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Prosegur Stock
Prosegur financial ratios help investors to determine whether Prosegur Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Prosegur with respect to the benefits of owning Prosegur security.