Palantir Technologies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.82
| PLTR Stock | USD 23.79 0.83 3.61% |
Closest to current price Palantir long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Palantir |
Palantir Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 15.82
The tendency of Palantir Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 15.82 in 90 days |
| 23.79 | 90 days | 15.82 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Palantir Technologies to stay above $ 15.82 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Palantir Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Palantir Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Palantir Technologies price to stay between $ 15.82 and its current price of $23.79 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.66 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.71 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Palantir Technologies will likely underperform. Additionally Palantir Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Palantir Technologies Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Palantir Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Palantir Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Palantir Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Palantir Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Palantir Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Palantir Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Palantir Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Palantir Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.0017 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.71 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Palantir Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Palantir Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Palantir Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Palantir Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Palantir Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Palantir Technologies is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from cnbc.com: Trump heads to tech fundraiser in San Francisco, with some guests paying 300,000 |
Palantir Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Palantir Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Palantir Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Palantir Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.7 B |
Palantir Technologies Technical Analysis
Palantir Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Palantir Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Palantir Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Palantir Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Palantir Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Palantir Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Palantir Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Palantir Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Palantir Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Palantir Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Palantir Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Palantir Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Palantir Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Palantir Technologies is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from cnbc.com: Trump heads to tech fundraiser in San Francisco, with some guests paying 300,000 |
Additional Tools for Palantir Stock Analysis
When running Palantir Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Palantir Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Palantir Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Palantir Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Palantir Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Palantir Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Palantir Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.