Flaherty Crumrine Preferredome Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 10.88
| PFD Fund | USD 10.31 0.07 0.68% |
Flaherty |
Flaherty Crumrine Target Price Odds to finish over 10.88
The tendency of Flaherty Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 10.88 or more in 90 days |
| 10.31 | 90 days | 10.88 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Flaherty Crumrine to move over $ 10.88 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Flaherty Crumrine Preferredome probability density function shows the probability of Flaherty Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Flaherty Crumrine price to stay between its current price of $ 10.31 and $ 10.88 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.05 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Flaherty Crumrine has a beta of 0.13 indicating as returns on the market go up, Flaherty Crumrine average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Flaherty Crumrine Preferredome will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Flaherty Crumrine Preferredome has an alpha of 0.0082, implying that it can generate a 0.008166 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Flaherty Crumrine Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Flaherty Crumrine
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flaherty Crumrine. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Flaherty Crumrine's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Flaherty Crumrine Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Flaherty Crumrine is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Flaherty Crumrine's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Flaherty Crumrine Preferredome, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Flaherty Crumrine within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0057 |
Flaherty Crumrine Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Flaherty Crumrine for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Flaherty Crumrine can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: Brad Keithleys Chart of the Week Alaskas Super Socialists - Alaska Landmine | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% |
Flaherty Crumrine Technical Analysis
Flaherty Crumrine's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Flaherty Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Flaherty Crumrine Preferredome. In general, you should focus on analyzing Flaherty Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Flaherty Crumrine Predictive Forecast Models
Flaherty Crumrine's time-series forecasting models is one of many Flaherty Crumrine's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Flaherty Crumrine's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Flaherty Crumrine
Checking the ongoing alerts about Flaherty Crumrine for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Flaherty Crumrine help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Brad Keithleys Chart of the Week Alaskas Super Socialists - Alaska Landmine | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% |
Check out Flaherty Crumrine Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Flaherty Crumrine Correlation, Flaherty Crumrine Hype Analysis, Flaherty Crumrine Volatility, Flaherty Crumrine History as well as Flaherty Crumrine Performance. Note that the Flaherty Crumrine information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Flaherty Crumrine's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.