Pimco Small Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 7.1

PCKPX Fund  USD 7.15  0.13  1.85%   
Pimco Small's future price is the expected price of Pimco Small instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Pimco Small Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Pimco Small Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Pimco Small Correlation, Pimco Small Hype Analysis, Pimco Small Volatility, Pimco Small History as well as Pimco Small Performance.
  
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Pimco Small Target Price Odds to finish below 7.1

The tendency of Pimco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 7.10  or more in 90 days
 7.15 90 days 7.10 
about 32.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pimco Small to drop to $ 7.10  or more in 90 days from now is about 32.44 (This Pimco Small Cap probability density function shows the probability of Pimco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pimco Small Cap price to stay between $ 7.10  and its current price of $7.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.54 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.83 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Pimco Small will likely underperform. Additionally Pimco Small Cap has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Pimco Small Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Pimco Small

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pimco Small Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pimco Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.817.158.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.837.178.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.997.348.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.957.097.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pimco Small. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pimco Small's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pimco Small's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pimco Small Cap.

Pimco Small Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pimco Small is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pimco Small's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pimco Small Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pimco Small within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.06
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.83
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Pimco Small Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pimco Small for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pimco Small Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -5.0%
Pimco Small Cap maintains about 20.92% of its assets in bonds

Pimco Small Technical Analysis

Pimco Small's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pimco Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pimco Small Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pimco Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Pimco Small Predictive Forecast Models

Pimco Small's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pimco Small's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pimco Small's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Pimco Small Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Pimco Small for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pimco Small Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -5.0%
Pimco Small Cap maintains about 20.92% of its assets in bonds
Check out Pimco Small Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Pimco Small Correlation, Pimco Small Hype Analysis, Pimco Small Volatility, Pimco Small History as well as Pimco Small Performance.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Pimco Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pimco Small is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pimco Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.