Paramount Global Class Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.88

PARA Stock  USD 11.04  0.94  7.85%   
Paramount Global's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Paramount Global Class. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Paramount Global based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Paramount Global Class over a specific time period. For example, 2024-06-14 CALL at $11.0 is a CALL option contract on Paramount Global's common stock with a strick price of 11.0 expiring on 2024-06-14. The contract was last traded on 2024-06-11 at 15:59:54 for $0.44 and, as of today, has 3 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.38, and an ask price of $0.45. The implied volatility as of the 12th of June 2024 is 128.71. View All Paramount options

Closest to current price Paramount long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Paramount Global's future price is the expected price of Paramount Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Paramount Global Class performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Paramount Global Backtesting, Paramount Global Valuation, Paramount Global Correlation, Paramount Global Hype Analysis, Paramount Global Volatility, Paramount Global History as well as Paramount Global Performance.
  
At present, Paramount Global's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 25.27, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.30. Please specify Paramount Global's target price for which you would like Paramount Global odds to be computed.

Paramount Global Target Price Odds to finish over 14.88

The tendency of Paramount Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 14.88  or more in 90 days
 11.04 90 days 14.88 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Paramount Global to move over $ 14.88  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Paramount Global Class probability density function shows the probability of Paramount Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Paramount Global Class price to stay between its current price of $ 11.04  and $ 14.88  at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.8 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.65 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Paramount Global will likely underperform. Additionally Paramount Global Class has an alpha of 0.1386, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Paramount Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Paramount Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Paramount Global Class. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Paramount Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.1411.0515.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.1313.0417.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.0611.9616.87
Details
29 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
14.8816.3518.15
Details

Paramount Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Paramount Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Paramount Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Paramount Global Class, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Paramount Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.14
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.65
σ
Overall volatility
0.74
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Paramount Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Paramount Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Paramount Global Class can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Paramount Global had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 29.65 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.25 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.31 B.
About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from cnbc.com: Stocks making the biggest moves after hours Oracle, Rentokil, Rubrik and more

Paramount Global Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Paramount Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Paramount Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Paramount Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding652 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.5 B

Paramount Global Technical Analysis

Paramount Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Paramount Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Paramount Global Class. In general, you should focus on analyzing Paramount Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Paramount Global Predictive Forecast Models

Paramount Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Paramount Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Paramount Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Paramount Global Class

Checking the ongoing alerts about Paramount Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Paramount Global Class help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Paramount Global had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 29.65 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.25 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.31 B.
About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from cnbc.com: Stocks making the biggest moves after hours Oracle, Rentokil, Rubrik and more

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Paramount Stock

When determining whether Paramount Global Class offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Paramount Global's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Paramount Global Class Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Paramount Global Class Stock:
Is Broadcasting space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Paramount Global. If investors know Paramount will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Paramount Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
79.876
Dividend Share
0.2
Earnings Share
(1.13)
Revenue Per Share
46.07
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.058
The market value of Paramount Global Class is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Paramount that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Paramount Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Paramount Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Paramount Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Paramount Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Paramount Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Paramount Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Paramount Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.