Nustar Energy Lp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 22.55
NS Stock | USD 21.96 0.41 1.83% |
Closest to current price NuStar long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
NuStar |
NuStar Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 22.55
The tendency of NuStar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 22.55 or more in 90 days |
21.96 | 90 days | 22.55 | about 64.62 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NuStar Energy to move over $ 22.55 or more in 90 days from now is about 64.62 (This NuStar Energy LP probability density function shows the probability of NuStar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NuStar Energy LP price to stay between its current price of $ 21.96 and $ 22.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.59 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.04 . This indicates NuStar Energy LP market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, NuStar Energy is expected to follow. Additionally NuStar Energy LP has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. NuStar Energy Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for NuStar Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NuStar Energy LP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NuStar Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NuStar Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NuStar Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NuStar Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NuStar Energy LP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NuStar Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
NuStar Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NuStar Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NuStar Energy LP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.NuStar Energy LP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
NuStar Energy LP has a very strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Tortoise Announces Constituent Changes Due to Corporate Action |
NuStar Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NuStar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NuStar Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NuStar Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 116.9 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.8 M |
NuStar Energy Technical Analysis
NuStar Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NuStar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NuStar Energy LP. In general, you should focus on analyzing NuStar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NuStar Energy Predictive Forecast Models
NuStar Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many NuStar Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NuStar Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NuStar Energy LP
Checking the ongoing alerts about NuStar Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NuStar Energy LP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NuStar Energy LP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
NuStar Energy LP has a very strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Tortoise Announces Constituent Changes Due to Corporate Action |
Check out NuStar Energy Backtesting, NuStar Energy Valuation, NuStar Energy Correlation, NuStar Energy Hype Analysis, NuStar Energy Volatility, NuStar Energy History as well as NuStar Energy Performance. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Complementary Tools for NuStar Stock analysis
When running NuStar Energy's price analysis, check to measure NuStar Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NuStar Energy is operating at the current time. Most of NuStar Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NuStar Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NuStar Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NuStar Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is NuStar Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NuStar Energy. If investors know NuStar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NuStar Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.76) | Dividend Share 1.6 | Earnings Share 0.26 | Revenue Per Share 13.507 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of NuStar Energy LP is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NuStar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NuStar Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NuStar Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NuStar Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NuStar Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NuStar Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NuStar Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NuStar Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.