Nordic American Tankers Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.18

NAT Stock  USD 4.03  0.01  0.25%   
Nordic American's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Nordic American Tankers. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Nordic American based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Nordic American Tankers over a specific time period. For example, 2024-06-21 CALL at $4.0 is a CALL option contract on Nordic American's common stock with a strick price of 4.0 expiring on 2024-06-21. The contract was last traded on 2024-06-10 at 15:34:47 for $0.1 and, as of today, has 11 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.1, and an ask price of $0.15. The implied volatility as of the 10th of June is 32.98. View All Nordic options

Closest to current price Nordic long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Nordic American's future price is the expected price of Nordic American instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nordic American Tankers performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nordic American Backtesting, Nordic American Valuation, Nordic American Correlation, Nordic American Hype Analysis, Nordic American Volatility, Nordic American History as well as Nordic American Performance.
  
At this time, Nordic American's Price To Sales Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings Ratio is likely to gain to 9.33 in 2024, whereas Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is likely to drop 5.97 in 2024. Please specify Nordic American's target price for which you would like Nordic American odds to be computed.

Nordic American Target Price Odds to finish below 3.18

The tendency of Nordic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 3.18  or more in 90 days
 4.03 90 days 3.18 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nordic American to drop to $ 3.18  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Nordic American Tankers probability density function shows the probability of Nordic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nordic American Tankers price to stay between $ 3.18  and its current price of $4.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.9 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.28 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Nordic American will likely underperform. Additionally Nordic American Tankers has an alpha of 0.0345, implying that it can generate a 0.0345 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nordic American Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nordic American

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nordic American Tankers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nordic American's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.014.036.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.944.966.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.893.915.93
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.345.876.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nordic American. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nordic American's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nordic American's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nordic American Tankers.

Nordic American Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nordic American is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nordic American's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nordic American Tankers, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nordic American within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.28
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Nordic American Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nordic American for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nordic American Tankers can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nordic American is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
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Nordic American Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nordic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nordic American's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nordic American's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding208.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments33.4 M

Nordic American Technical Analysis

Nordic American's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nordic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nordic American Tankers. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nordic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nordic American Predictive Forecast Models

Nordic American's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nordic American's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nordic American's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nordic American Tankers

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nordic American for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nordic American Tankers help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nordic American is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
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Additional Tools for Nordic Stock Analysis

When running Nordic American's price analysis, check to measure Nordic American's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nordic American is operating at the current time. Most of Nordic American's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nordic American's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nordic American's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nordic American to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.