Studio City International Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.0

MSC Stock  USD 6.17  0.83  11.86%   
Studio City's future price is the expected price of Studio City instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Studio City International performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Studio City Backtesting, Studio City Valuation, Studio City Correlation, Studio City Hype Analysis, Studio City Volatility, Studio City History as well as Studio City Performance.
  
At present, Studio City's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Book Ratio is expected to grow to 1.97, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 2.66. Please specify Studio City's target price for which you would like Studio City odds to be computed.

Studio City Target Price Odds to finish over 7.0

The tendency of Studio Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 7.00  or more in 90 days
 6.17 90 days 7.00 
about 75.41
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Studio City to move over $ 7.00  or more in 90 days from now is about 75.41 (This Studio City International probability density function shows the probability of Studio Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Studio City International price to stay between its current price of $ 6.17  and $ 7.00  at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.22 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.15 . This indicates Studio City International market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Studio City is expected to follow. Additionally Studio City International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Studio City Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Studio City

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Studio City International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Studio City's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.276.1712.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.377.2713.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.105.2111.11
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.0111.0012.21
Details

Studio City Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Studio City is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Studio City's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Studio City International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Studio City within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.0041
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.64
Ir
Information ratio -0.0005

Studio City Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Studio City for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Studio City International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Studio City had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Studio City has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 445.54 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (133.52 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (61.41 M).
Studio City International has about 509.52 M in cash with (18.89 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.86.
Studio City has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Studio City Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Studio Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Studio City's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Studio City's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding192.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments228 M

Studio City Technical Analysis

Studio City's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Studio Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Studio City International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Studio Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Studio City Predictive Forecast Models

Studio City's time-series forecasting models is one of many Studio City's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Studio City's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Studio City International

Checking the ongoing alerts about Studio City for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Studio City International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Studio City had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Studio City has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 445.54 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (133.52 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (61.41 M).
Studio City International has about 509.52 M in cash with (18.89 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.86.
Studio City has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Studio Stock

When determining whether Studio City International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Studio City's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Studio City International Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Studio City International Stock:
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Studio City. If investors know Studio will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Studio City listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
13.252
Earnings Share
(0.57)
Revenue Per Share
2.826
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.918
Return On Assets
0.0029
The market value of Studio City International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Studio that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Studio City's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Studio City's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Studio City's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Studio City's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Studio City's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Studio City is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Studio City's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.