Macarthur Minerals Limited Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.06
| MMSDF Stock | USD 0.04 0.01 20.00% |
Macarthur |
Macarthur Minerals Target Price Odds to finish below 0.06
The tendency of Macarthur OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.06 after 90 days |
| 0.04 | 90 days | 0.06 | about 35.91 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Macarthur Minerals to stay under $ 0.06 after 90 days from now is about 35.91 (This Macarthur Minerals Limited probability density function shows the probability of Macarthur OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Macarthur Minerals price to stay between its current price of $ 0.04 and $ 0.06 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.75 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 1.12 . This indicates Macarthur Minerals Limited market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Macarthur Minerals is expected to follow. Additionally Macarthur Minerals Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Macarthur Minerals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Macarthur Minerals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Macarthur Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Macarthur Minerals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Macarthur Minerals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Macarthur Minerals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Macarthur Minerals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Macarthur Minerals Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Macarthur Minerals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.98 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Macarthur Minerals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Macarthur Minerals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Macarthur Minerals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Macarthur Minerals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Macarthur Minerals has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Macarthur Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Macarthur Minerals Limited has accumulated about 5.38 M in cash with (2.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03. |
Macarthur Minerals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Macarthur OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Macarthur Minerals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Macarthur Minerals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 146.3 M |
Macarthur Minerals Technical Analysis
Macarthur Minerals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Macarthur OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Macarthur Minerals Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Macarthur OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Macarthur Minerals Predictive Forecast Models
Macarthur Minerals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Macarthur Minerals' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Macarthur Minerals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Macarthur Minerals
Checking the ongoing alerts about Macarthur Minerals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Macarthur Minerals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Macarthur Minerals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Macarthur Minerals has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Macarthur Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Macarthur Minerals Limited has accumulated about 5.38 M in cash with (2.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03. |
Check out Macarthur Minerals Backtesting, Macarthur Minerals Valuation, Macarthur Minerals Correlation, Macarthur Minerals Hype Analysis, Macarthur Minerals Volatility, Macarthur Minerals History as well as Macarthur Minerals Performance. Note that the Macarthur Minerals information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Macarthur Minerals' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Complementary Tools for Macarthur OTC Stock analysis
When running Macarthur Minerals' price analysis, check to measure Macarthur Minerals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Macarthur Minerals is operating at the current time. Most of Macarthur Minerals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Macarthur Minerals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Macarthur Minerals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Macarthur Minerals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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