Global E Portfolio Fund Odds of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 19.19

MLMSX Fund  USD 19.64  0.01  0.05%   
Global E's future price is the expected price of Global E instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Global E Portfolio performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Global E Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Global E Correlation, Global E Hype Analysis, Global E Volatility, Global E History as well as Global E Performance.
  
Please specify Global E's target price for which you would like Global E odds to be computed.

Global E Target Price Odds to finish over 19.19

The tendency of Global Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 19.19  in 90 days
 19.64 90 days 19.19 
about 44.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Global E to stay above $ 19.19  in 90 days from now is about 44.32 (This Global E Portfolio probability density function shows the probability of Global Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Global E Portfolio price to stay between $ 19.19  and its current price of $19.64 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.66 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.03 . This indicates Global E Portfolio market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Global E is expected to follow. Additionally Global E Portfolio has an alpha of 0.0426, implying that it can generate a 0.0426 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Global E Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Global E

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global E Portfolio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Global E's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.8819.6520.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.7219.4920.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.7519.5320.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.3419.1619.99
Details

Global E Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Global E is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Global E's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Global E Portfolio, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Global E within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.04
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.35
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Global E Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Global E for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Global E Portfolio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 97.92% of its assets in stocks

Global E Technical Analysis

Global E's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Global Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Global E Portfolio. In general, you should focus on analyzing Global Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Global E Predictive Forecast Models

Global E's time-series forecasting models is one of many Global E's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Global E's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Global E Portfolio

Checking the ongoing alerts about Global E for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Global E Portfolio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 97.92% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Global Mutual Fund

Global E financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global E security.
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