Manila Electric Co Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 10.02
MAEOY Stock | USD 12.88 0.00 0.00% |
Manila |
Manila Electric Target Price Odds to finish below 10.02
The tendency of Manila Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 10.02 or more in 90 days |
12.88 | 90 days | 10.02 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Manila Electric to drop to $ 10.02 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Manila Electric Co probability density function shows the probability of Manila Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Manila Electric price to stay between $ 10.02 and its current price of $12.88 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.3 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Manila Electric has a beta of 0.11. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Manila Electric average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Manila Electric Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Manila Electric Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Manila Electric Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Manila Electric
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Manila Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Manila Electric's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Manila Electric Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Manila Electric is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Manila Electric's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Manila Electric Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Manila Electric within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Manila Electric Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Manila Electric for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Manila Electric can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Manila Electric generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
The company has accumulated 52.72 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.83, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Manila Electric has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Manila Electric until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Manila Electric's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Manila Electric sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Manila to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Manila Electric's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Manila Electric Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Manila Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Manila Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Manila Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B |
Manila Electric Technical Analysis
Manila Electric's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Manila Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Manila Electric Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Manila Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Manila Electric Predictive Forecast Models
Manila Electric's time-series forecasting models is one of many Manila Electric's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Manila Electric's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Manila Electric
Checking the ongoing alerts about Manila Electric for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Manila Electric help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Manila Electric generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
The company has accumulated 52.72 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.83, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Manila Electric has a current ratio of 0.83, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Manila Electric until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Manila Electric's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Manila Electric sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Manila to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Manila Electric's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Check out Manila Electric Backtesting, Manila Electric Valuation, Manila Electric Correlation, Manila Electric Hype Analysis, Manila Electric Volatility, Manila Electric History as well as Manila Electric Performance. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Complementary Tools for Manila Pink Sheet analysis
When running Manila Electric's price analysis, check to measure Manila Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Manila Electric is operating at the current time. Most of Manila Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Manila Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Manila Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Manila Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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