Kinetik Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 39.86

KNTK Stock  USD 40.89  0.35  0.86%   
Kinetik Holdings' future price is the expected price of Kinetik Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kinetik Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kinetik Holdings Backtesting, Kinetik Holdings Valuation, Kinetik Holdings Correlation, Kinetik Holdings Hype Analysis, Kinetik Holdings Volatility, Kinetik Holdings History as well as Kinetik Holdings Performance.
For more information on how to buy Kinetik Stock please use our How to buy in Kinetik Stock guide.
  
At this time, Kinetik Holdings' Price Sales Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Please specify Kinetik Holdings' target price for which you would like Kinetik Holdings odds to be computed.

Kinetik Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 39.86

The tendency of Kinetik Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 39.86  in 90 days
 40.89 90 days 39.86 
about 22.26
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kinetik Holdings to stay above $ 39.86  in 90 days from now is about 22.26 (This Kinetik Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Kinetik Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kinetik Holdings price to stay between $ 39.86  and its current price of $40.89 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.03 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Kinetik Holdings has a beta of 0.9. This indicates Kinetik Holdings market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Kinetik Holdings is expected to follow. Additionally Kinetik Holdings has an alpha of 0.2211, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kinetik Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kinetik Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kinetik Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kinetik Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.6440.9742.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
36.8042.7644.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39.4240.7542.09
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
34.9838.4442.67
Details

Kinetik Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kinetik Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kinetik Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kinetik Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kinetik Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.22
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.90
σ
Overall volatility
1.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Kinetik Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kinetik Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kinetik Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 9th of May 2024 Kinetik Holdings paid $ 0.75 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Disposition of 7475000 shares by Apache Corp of Kinetik Holdings at 31.5 subject to Rule 16b-3

Kinetik Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kinetik Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kinetik Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kinetik Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding58.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.5 M

Kinetik Holdings Technical Analysis

Kinetik Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kinetik Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kinetik Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kinetik Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kinetik Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Kinetik Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Kinetik Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kinetik Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kinetik Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kinetik Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kinetik Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 9th of May 2024 Kinetik Holdings paid $ 0.75 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Disposition of 7475000 shares by Apache Corp of Kinetik Holdings at 31.5 subject to Rule 16b-3

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Kinetik Stock

When determining whether Kinetik Holdings is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Kinetik Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Kinetik Holdings Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Kinetik Holdings Stock:
Is Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kinetik Holdings. If investors know Kinetik will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kinetik Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
16.095
Dividend Share
3
Earnings Share
2.7
Revenue Per Share
24.211
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.215
The market value of Kinetik Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kinetik that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kinetik Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kinetik Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kinetik Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kinetik Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kinetik Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kinetik Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kinetik Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.