Kimco Realty Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.63
| KIM Stock | USD 19.10 0.14 0.74% |
Closest to current price Kimco long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Kimco |
Kimco Realty Target Price Odds to finish over 18.63
The tendency of Kimco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 18.63 in 90 days |
| 19.10 | 90 days | 18.63 | about 76.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kimco Realty to stay above $ 18.63 in 90 days from now is about 76.6 (This Kimco Realty probability density function shows the probability of Kimco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kimco Realty price to stay between $ 18.63 and its current price of $19.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.89 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.36 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Kimco Realty will likely underperform. Additionally Kimco Realty has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Kimco Realty Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kimco Realty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kimco Realty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kimco Realty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kimco Realty Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kimco Realty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kimco Realty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kimco Realty, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kimco Realty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Kimco Realty Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kimco Realty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kimco Realty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kimco Realty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kimco Realty has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 21st of March 2024 Kimco Realty paid $ 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Earnings call Kimco Realty Q1 2024 results exceed expectations |
Kimco Realty Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kimco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kimco Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kimco Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 618.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 783.8 M |
Kimco Realty Technical Analysis
Kimco Realty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kimco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kimco Realty. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kimco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kimco Realty Predictive Forecast Models
Kimco Realty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kimco Realty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kimco Realty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kimco Realty
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kimco Realty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kimco Realty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kimco Realty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kimco Realty has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 21st of March 2024 Kimco Realty paid $ 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Earnings call Kimco Realty Q1 2024 results exceed expectations |
Check out Kimco Realty Backtesting, Kimco Realty Valuation, Kimco Realty Correlation, Kimco Realty Hype Analysis, Kimco Realty Volatility, Kimco Realty History as well as Kimco Realty Performance. To learn how to invest in Kimco Stock, please use our How to Invest in Kimco Realty guide.You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Complementary Tools for Kimco Stock analysis
When running Kimco Realty's price analysis, check to measure Kimco Realty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kimco Realty is operating at the current time. Most of Kimco Realty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kimco Realty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kimco Realty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kimco Realty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Kimco Realty's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kimco Realty. If investors know Kimco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kimco Realty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.25 | Dividend Share 0.93 | Earnings Share 1.02 | Revenue Per Share 2.891 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.027 |
The market value of Kimco Realty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kimco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kimco Realty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kimco Realty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kimco Realty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kimco Realty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kimco Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kimco Realty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kimco Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.