Korea Electric Power Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.0

KEP Stock  USD 7.86  0.18  2.34%   
Korea Electric's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Korea Electric Power. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Korea Electric based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Korea Electric Power over a specific time period. For example, 2024-05-17 CALL at $7.5 is a CALL option contract on Korea Electric's common stock with a strick price of 7.5 expiring on 2024-05-17. The contract was last traded on 2024-04-25 at 11:38:09 for $0.41 and, as of today, has 15 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.1, and an ask price of $0.55. The implied volatility as of the 3rd of May is 49.72. View All Korea options

Closest to current price Korea long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Korea Electric's future price is the expected price of Korea Electric instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Korea Electric Power performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Korea Electric Backtesting, Korea Electric Valuation, Korea Electric Correlation, Korea Electric Hype Analysis, Korea Electric Volatility, Korea Electric History as well as Korea Electric Performance.
  
As of 05/03/2024, Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop to 0.06. In addition to that, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop to -1.31. Please specify Korea Electric's target price for which you would like Korea Electric odds to be computed.

Korea Electric Target Price Odds to finish over 10.0

The tendency of Korea Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 10.00  or more in 90 days
 7.86 90 days 10.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Korea Electric to move over $ 10.00  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Korea Electric Power probability density function shows the probability of Korea Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Korea Electric Power price to stay between its current price of $ 7.86  and $ 10.00  at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.66 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Korea Electric has a beta of 0.83. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Korea Electric average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Korea Electric Power will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Korea Electric Power has an alpha of 0.0823, implying that it can generate a 0.0823 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Korea Electric Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Korea Electric

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Korea Electric Power. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Korea Electric's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.237.8410.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.449.0511.66
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.1010.0011.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Korea Electric. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Korea Electric's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Korea Electric's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Korea Electric Power.

Korea Electric Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Korea Electric is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Korea Electric's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Korea Electric Power, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Korea Electric within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.08
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.83
σ
Overall volatility
0.68
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Korea Electric Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Korea Electric for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Korea Electric Power can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has 137.44 T in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.26, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Korea Electric Power has a current ratio of 0.66, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Korea Electric until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Korea Electric's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Korea Electric Power sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Korea to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Korea Electric's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 88.22 T. Reported Net Loss for the year was (4.82 T) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (29.82 T).
Latest headline from koreatimes.co.kr: Public firms debt hits fresh high in 2023

Korea Electric Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Korea Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Korea Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Korea Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding642 M
Cash And Short Term Investments7.3 T

Korea Electric Technical Analysis

Korea Electric's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Korea Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Korea Electric Power. In general, you should focus on analyzing Korea Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Korea Electric Predictive Forecast Models

Korea Electric's time-series forecasting models is one of many Korea Electric's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Korea Electric's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Korea Electric Power

Checking the ongoing alerts about Korea Electric for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Korea Electric Power help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has 137.44 T in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.26, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Korea Electric Power has a current ratio of 0.66, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Korea Electric until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Korea Electric's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Korea Electric Power sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Korea to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Korea Electric's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 88.22 T. Reported Net Loss for the year was (4.82 T) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (29.82 T).
Latest headline from koreatimes.co.kr: Public firms debt hits fresh high in 2023
When determining whether Korea Electric Power is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Korea Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Korea Electric Power Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Korea Electric Power Stock:
Check out Korea Electric Backtesting, Korea Electric Valuation, Korea Electric Correlation, Korea Electric Hype Analysis, Korea Electric Volatility, Korea Electric History as well as Korea Electric Performance.
Note that the Korea Electric Power information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Korea Electric's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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When running Korea Electric's price analysis, check to measure Korea Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Korea Electric is operating at the current time. Most of Korea Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Korea Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Korea Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Korea Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Korea Electric's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Korea Electric. If investors know Korea will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Korea Electric listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.73
Earnings Share
(2.73)
Revenue Per Share
68.7 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.155
Return On Assets
(0.01)
The market value of Korea Electric Power is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Korea that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Korea Electric's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Korea Electric's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Korea Electric's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Korea Electric's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Korea Electric's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Korea Electric is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Korea Electric's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.