Kobe Steel Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 9.86
| KBSTF Stock | USD 12.75 0.57 4.68% |
Kobe |
Kobe Steel Target Price Odds to finish below 9.86
The tendency of Kobe Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 9.86 or more in 90 days |
| 12.75 | 90 days | 9.86 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kobe Steel to drop to $ 9.86 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Kobe Steel probability density function shows the probability of Kobe Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kobe Steel price to stay between $ 9.86 and its current price of $12.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.71 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Kobe Steel has a beta of -0.0483. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kobe Steel are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kobe Steel is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kobe Steel has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Kobe Steel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kobe Steel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kobe Steel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kobe Steel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kobe Steel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kobe Steel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kobe Steel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kobe Steel, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kobe Steel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Kobe Steel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kobe Steel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kobe Steel can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kobe Steel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Kobe Steel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kobe Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kobe Steel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kobe Steel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 394.5 M |
Kobe Steel Technical Analysis
Kobe Steel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kobe Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kobe Steel. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kobe Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kobe Steel Predictive Forecast Models
Kobe Steel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kobe Steel's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kobe Steel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kobe Steel
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kobe Steel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kobe Steel help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kobe Steel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Kobe Pink Sheet
Kobe Steel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kobe Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kobe with respect to the benefits of owning Kobe Steel security.