Kraneshares Electric Vehicles Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 20.84
| KARS Etf | USD 22.72 0.17 0.74% |
Closest to current price KraneShares long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
KraneShares |
KraneShares Electric Target Price Odds to finish over 20.84
The tendency of KraneShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 20.84 in 90 days |
| 22.72 | 90 days | 20.84 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KraneShares Electric to stay above $ 20.84 in 90 days from now is under 95 (This KraneShares Electric Vehicles probability density function shows the probability of KraneShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KraneShares Electric price to stay between $ 20.84 and its current price of $22.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.79 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days KraneShares Electric Vehicles has a beta of -0.14. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding KraneShares Electric are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, KraneShares Electric Vehicles is likely to outperform the market. Additionally KraneShares Electric Vehicles has an alpha of 0.1459, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). KraneShares Electric Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for KraneShares Electric
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KraneShares Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of KraneShares Electric's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
KraneShares Electric Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KraneShares Electric is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KraneShares Electric's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KraneShares Electric Vehicles, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KraneShares Electric within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
KraneShares Electric Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KraneShares Electric for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KraneShares Electric can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: Trading Signals - Stock Traders Daily | |
| The fund created three year return of -14.0% | |
| KraneShares Electric maintains 99.81% of its assets in stocks |
KraneShares Electric Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KraneShares Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KraneShares Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KraneShares Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
KraneShares Electric Technical Analysis
KraneShares Electric's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KraneShares Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KraneShares Electric Vehicles. In general, you should focus on analyzing KraneShares Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KraneShares Electric Predictive Forecast Models
KraneShares Electric's time-series forecasting models is one of many KraneShares Electric's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KraneShares Electric's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KraneShares Electric
Checking the ongoing alerts about KraneShares Electric for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KraneShares Electric help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Trading Signals - Stock Traders Daily | |
| The fund created three year return of -14.0% | |
| KraneShares Electric maintains 99.81% of its assets in stocks |
Check out KraneShares Electric Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, KraneShares Electric Correlation, KraneShares Electric Hype Analysis, KraneShares Electric Volatility, KraneShares Electric History as well as KraneShares Electric Performance. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
The market value of KraneShares Electric is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of KraneShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of KraneShares Electric's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is KraneShares Electric's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because KraneShares Electric's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect KraneShares Electric's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between KraneShares Electric's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KraneShares Electric is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KraneShares Electric's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.