St Joe Company Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 54.53
| JOE Stock | USD 58.22 0.04 0.07% |
Closest to current price JOE long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
JOE |
St Joe Target Price Odds to finish below 54.53
The tendency of JOE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 54.53 or more in 90 days |
| 58.22 | 90 days | 54.53 | about 26.72 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of St Joe to drop to $ 54.53 or more in 90 days from now is about 26.72 (This St Joe Company probability density function shows the probability of JOE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of St Joe Company price to stay between $ 54.53 and its current price of $58.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.9 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.96 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, St Joe will likely underperform. Additionally St Joe Company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. St Joe Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for St Joe
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as St Joe Company. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of St Joe's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
St Joe Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. St Joe is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the St Joe's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold St Joe Company, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of St Joe within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.96 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
St Joe Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of St Joe for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for St Joe Company can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| St Joe Company has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 27th of March 2024 St Joe paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Acquisition by Rhea Goff of 2793 shares of St Joe subject to Rule 16b-3 |
St Joe Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of JOE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential St Joe's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. St Joe's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 86.1 M |
St Joe Technical Analysis
St Joe's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JOE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of St Joe Company. In general, you should focus on analyzing JOE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
St Joe Predictive Forecast Models
St Joe's time-series forecasting models is one of many St Joe's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary St Joe's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about St Joe Company
Checking the ongoing alerts about St Joe for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for St Joe Company help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| St Joe Company has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 27th of March 2024 St Joe paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Acquisition by Rhea Goff of 2793 shares of St Joe subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out St Joe Backtesting, St Joe Valuation, St Joe Correlation, St Joe Hype Analysis, St Joe Volatility, St Joe History as well as St Joe Performance. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Complementary Tools for JOE Stock analysis
When running St Joe's price analysis, check to measure St Joe's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy St Joe is operating at the current time. Most of St Joe's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of St Joe's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move St Joe's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of St Joe to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is St Joe's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of St Joe. If investors know JOE will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about St Joe listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.339 | Dividend Share 0.46 | Earnings Share 1.39 | Revenue Per Share 6.929 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.203 |
The market value of St Joe Company is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JOE that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of St Joe's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is St Joe's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because St Joe's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect St Joe's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between St Joe's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if St Joe is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, St Joe's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.