Jb Hunt Transport Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 199.25
| JBHT Stock | USD 162.01 1.73 1.06% |
Closest to current price JBHT long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
JBHT |
JB Hunt Target Price Odds to finish below 199.25
The tendency of JBHT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 199.25 after 90 days |
| 162.01 | 90 days | 199.25 | about 54.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JB Hunt to stay under $ 199.25 after 90 days from now is about 54.31 (This JB Hunt Transport probability density function shows the probability of JBHT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JB Hunt Transport price to stay between its current price of $ 162.01 and $ 199.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.05 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days JB Hunt has a beta of 0.0991. This indicates as returns on the market go up, JB Hunt average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding JB Hunt Transport will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally JB Hunt Transport has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. JB Hunt Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for JB Hunt
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JB Hunt Transport. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of JB Hunt's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
JB Hunt Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JB Hunt is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JB Hunt's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JB Hunt Transport, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JB Hunt within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.34 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 13.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
JB Hunt Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JB Hunt for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JB Hunt Transport can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| JB Hunt Transport generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: J.B. Hunt Transport Services declares 0.43 dividend |
JB Hunt Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of JBHT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JB Hunt's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JB Hunt's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 104.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 53.3 M |
JB Hunt Technical Analysis
JB Hunt's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JBHT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JB Hunt Transport. In general, you should focus on analyzing JBHT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JB Hunt Predictive Forecast Models
JB Hunt's time-series forecasting models is one of many JB Hunt's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JB Hunt's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about JB Hunt Transport
Checking the ongoing alerts about JB Hunt for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JB Hunt Transport help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| JB Hunt Transport generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: J.B. Hunt Transport Services declares 0.43 dividend |
Check out JB Hunt Backtesting, JB Hunt Valuation, JB Hunt Correlation, JB Hunt Hype Analysis, JB Hunt Volatility, JB Hunt History as well as JB Hunt Performance. Note that the JB Hunt Transport information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other JB Hunt's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Complementary Tools for JBHT Stock analysis
When running JB Hunt's price analysis, check to measure JB Hunt's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JB Hunt is operating at the current time. Most of JB Hunt's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JB Hunt's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JB Hunt's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JB Hunt to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is JB Hunt's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of JB Hunt. If investors know JBHT will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about JB Hunt listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | Dividend Share 1.69 | Earnings Share 6.31 | Revenue Per Share 121.452 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
The market value of JB Hunt Transport is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JBHT that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JB Hunt's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JB Hunt's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JB Hunt's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JB Hunt's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JB Hunt's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JB Hunt is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JB Hunt's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.