Ipg Photonics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 129.17
IPGP Stock | USD 88.40 0.16 0.18% |
Closest to current price IPG long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
IPG |
IPG Photonics Target Price Odds to finish over 129.17
The tendency of IPG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 129.17 or more in 90 days |
88.40 | 90 days | 129.17 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IPG Photonics to move over $ 129.17 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This IPG Photonics probability density function shows the probability of IPG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IPG Photonics price to stay between its current price of $ 88.40 and $ 129.17 at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.64 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.35 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, IPG Photonics will likely underperform. Additionally IPG Photonics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. IPG Photonics Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for IPG Photonics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IPG Photonics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IPG Photonics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
IPG Photonics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IPG Photonics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IPG Photonics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IPG Photonics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IPG Photonics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.32 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
IPG Photonics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IPG Photonics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IPG Photonics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.IPG Photonics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
IPG Photonics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
Latest headline from zacks.com: IPG Photonics to Post Q1 Earnings Whats in the Cards |
IPG Photonics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IPG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IPG Photonics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IPG Photonics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.3 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
IPG Photonics Technical Analysis
IPG Photonics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IPG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IPG Photonics. In general, you should focus on analyzing IPG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
IPG Photonics Predictive Forecast Models
IPG Photonics' time-series forecasting models is one of many IPG Photonics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IPG Photonics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about IPG Photonics
Checking the ongoing alerts about IPG Photonics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IPG Photonics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
IPG Photonics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
IPG Photonics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
Latest headline from zacks.com: IPG Photonics to Post Q1 Earnings Whats in the Cards |
Check out IPG Photonics Backtesting, IPG Photonics Valuation, IPG Photonics Correlation, IPG Photonics Hype Analysis, IPG Photonics Volatility, IPG Photonics History as well as IPG Photonics Performance. To learn how to invest in IPG Stock, please use our How to Invest in IPG Photonics guide.Note that the IPG Photonics information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other IPG Photonics' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for IPG Stock analysis
When running IPG Photonics' price analysis, check to measure IPG Photonics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IPG Photonics is operating at the current time. Most of IPG Photonics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IPG Photonics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IPG Photonics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IPG Photonics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is IPG Photonics' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of IPG Photonics. If investors know IPG will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about IPG Photonics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.21) | Earnings Share 4.63 | Revenue Per Share 27.303 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) | Return On Assets 0.0532 |
The market value of IPG Photonics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IPG that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IPG Photonics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IPG Photonics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IPG Photonics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IPG Photonics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IPG Photonics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IPG Photonics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IPG Photonics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.