Identiv Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.91

INVE Stock  USD 4.11  0.19  4.42%   
Identiv's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Identiv. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Identiv based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Identiv over a specific time period. For example, 2024-06-21 CALL at $2.5 is a CALL option contract on Identiv's common stock with a strick price of 2.5 expiring on 2024-06-21. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 11 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.45, and an ask price of $1.8. The implied volatility as of the 10th of June is 141.67. View All Identiv options

Closest to current price Identiv long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Identiv's future price is the expected price of Identiv instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Identiv performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Identiv Backtesting, Identiv Valuation, Identiv Correlation, Identiv Hype Analysis, Identiv Volatility, Identiv History as well as Identiv Performance.
For information on how to trade Identiv Stock refer to our How to Trade Identiv Stock guide.
  
At present, Identiv's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Cash Flow Ratio is expected to grow to 172.50, whereas Price Book Value Ratio is forecasted to decline to 1.37. Please specify Identiv's target price for which you would like Identiv odds to be computed.

Identiv Target Price Odds to finish over 12.91

The tendency of Identiv Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 12.91  or more in 90 days
 4.11 90 days 12.91 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Identiv to move over $ 12.91  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Identiv probability density function shows the probability of Identiv Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Identiv price to stay between its current price of $ 4.11  and $ 12.91  at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.77 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Identiv has a beta of -0.21. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Identiv are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Identiv is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Identiv has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Identiv Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Identiv

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Identiv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Identiv's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.203.958.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.595.9510.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.394.769.12
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.5811.6312.91
Details

Identiv Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Identiv is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Identiv's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Identiv, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Identiv within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-1.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.21
σ
Overall volatility
1.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

Identiv Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Identiv for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Identiv can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Identiv generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Identiv has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 116.38 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 40.94 M.
Identiv has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Identivs Thailand Production Facility Achieves ISO 90012015 and ISO 140012015 Certifications

Identiv Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Identiv Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Identiv's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Identiv's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments24.4 M

Identiv Technical Analysis

Identiv's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Identiv Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Identiv. In general, you should focus on analyzing Identiv Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Identiv Predictive Forecast Models

Identiv's time-series forecasting models is one of many Identiv's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Identiv's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Identiv

Checking the ongoing alerts about Identiv for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Identiv help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Identiv generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Identiv has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 116.38 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.49 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 40.94 M.
Identiv has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Identivs Thailand Production Facility Achieves ISO 90012015 and ISO 140012015 Certifications

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Identiv Stock

When determining whether Identiv is a strong investment it is important to analyze Identiv's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Identiv's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Identiv Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Identiv Backtesting, Identiv Valuation, Identiv Correlation, Identiv Hype Analysis, Identiv Volatility, Identiv History as well as Identiv Performance.
For information on how to trade Identiv Stock refer to our How to Trade Identiv Stock guide.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Identiv. If investors know Identiv will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Identiv listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.89)
Earnings Share
(0.37)
Revenue Per Share
4.863
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.14)
Return On Assets
(0.04)
The market value of Identiv is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Identiv that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Identiv's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Identiv's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Identiv's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Identiv's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Identiv's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Identiv is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Identiv's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.