Inovalon Holdings Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 27.7

INOV Etf  USD 28.27  0.04  0.14%   
Inovalon Holdings' future price is the expected price of Inovalon Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Inovalon Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Inovalon Holdings Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Inovalon Holdings Correlation, Inovalon Holdings Hype Analysis, Inovalon Holdings Volatility, Inovalon Holdings History as well as Inovalon Holdings Performance.
  
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Inovalon Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 27.7

The tendency of Inovalon Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 27.70  in 90 days
 28.27 90 days 27.70 
about 51.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inovalon Holdings to stay above $ 27.70  in 90 days from now is about 51.33 (This Inovalon Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Inovalon Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Inovalon Holdings price to stay between $ 27.70  and its current price of $28.27 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.23 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Inovalon Holdings has a beta of 0.51. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Inovalon Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Inovalon Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Inovalon Holdings has an alpha of 0.0209, implying that it can generate a 0.0209 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Inovalon Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Inovalon Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inovalon Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Inovalon Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.9228.2728.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.6727.0231.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28.1728.5228.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.2027.8128.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Inovalon Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Inovalon Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Inovalon Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Inovalon Holdings.

Inovalon Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inovalon Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inovalon Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inovalon Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inovalon Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.51
σ
Overall volatility
0.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Inovalon Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inovalon Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inovalon Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 9165 shares by Green William D of Inovalon Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3
The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments

Inovalon Holdings Technical Analysis

Inovalon Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inovalon Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inovalon Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inovalon Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Inovalon Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Inovalon Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Inovalon Holdings' etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Inovalon Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Inovalon Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Inovalon Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inovalon Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 9165 shares by Green William D of Inovalon Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3
The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments
When determining whether Inovalon Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Inovalon Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Inovalon Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Inovalon Etf, refer to the following important reports:
The market value of Inovalon Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Inovalon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Inovalon Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Inovalon Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Inovalon Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Inovalon Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Inovalon Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Inovalon Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Inovalon Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.