Vy Jpmorgan Emerging Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 12.5
| IJPTX Fund | USD 12.60 0.00 0.00% |
Vy(r) |
Vy(r) Jpmorgan Target Price Odds to finish below 12.5
The tendency of Vy(r) Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 12.50 or more in 90 days |
| 12.60 | 90 days | 12.50 | about 81.95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vy(r) Jpmorgan to drop to $ 12.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 81.95 (This Vy Jpmorgan Emerging probability density function shows the probability of Vy(r) Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vy Jpmorgan Emerging price to stay between $ 12.50 and its current price of $12.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.98 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vy Jpmorgan Emerging has a beta of -0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Vy(r) Jpmorgan are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Vy Jpmorgan Emerging is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Vy Jpmorgan Emerging has an alpha of 0.0645, implying that it can generate a 0.0645 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Vy(r) Jpmorgan Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vy(r) Jpmorgan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vy Jpmorgan Emerging. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vy(r) Jpmorgan's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vy(r) Jpmorgan Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vy(r) Jpmorgan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vy(r) Jpmorgan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vy Jpmorgan Emerging, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vy(r) Jpmorgan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Vy(r) Jpmorgan Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vy(r) Jpmorgan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vy Jpmorgan Emerging can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of -10.0% | |
| Vy Jpmorgan Emerging retains 97.15% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Vy(r) Jpmorgan Technical Analysis
Vy(r) Jpmorgan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vy(r) Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vy Jpmorgan Emerging. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vy(r) Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vy(r) Jpmorgan Predictive Forecast Models
Vy(r) Jpmorgan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vy(r) Jpmorgan's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vy(r) Jpmorgan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vy Jpmorgan Emerging
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vy(r) Jpmorgan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vy Jpmorgan Emerging help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of -10.0% | |
| Vy Jpmorgan Emerging retains 97.15% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out Vy(r) Jpmorgan Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Vy(r) Jpmorgan Correlation, Vy(r) Jpmorgan Hype Analysis, Vy(r) Jpmorgan Volatility, Vy(r) Jpmorgan History as well as Vy(r) Jpmorgan Performance. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.