IMMOFINANZ (Austria) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.08
IIA Stock | EUR 23.90 0.05 0.21% |
IMMOFINANZ |
IMMOFINANZ Target Price Odds to finish over 25.08
The tendency of IMMOFINANZ Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 25.08 or more in 90 days |
23.90 | 90 days | 25.08 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IMMOFINANZ to move over 25.08 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This IMMOFINANZ AG probability density function shows the probability of IMMOFINANZ Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IMMOFINANZ AG price to stay between its current price of 23.90 and 25.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon IMMOFINANZ AG has a beta of -0.0504. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding IMMOFINANZ are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, IMMOFINANZ AG is likely to outperform the market. Additionally IMMOFINANZ AG has an alpha of 0.1455, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). IMMOFINANZ Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for IMMOFINANZ
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IMMOFINANZ AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IMMOFINANZ's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
IMMOFINANZ Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IMMOFINANZ is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IMMOFINANZ's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IMMOFINANZ AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IMMOFINANZ within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
IMMOFINANZ Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IMMOFINANZ for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IMMOFINANZ AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.About 79.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
IMMOFINANZ Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IMMOFINANZ Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IMMOFINANZ's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IMMOFINANZ's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 123.3 M |
IMMOFINANZ Technical Analysis
IMMOFINANZ's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IMMOFINANZ Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IMMOFINANZ AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing IMMOFINANZ Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
IMMOFINANZ Predictive Forecast Models
IMMOFINANZ's time-series forecasting models is one of many IMMOFINANZ's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IMMOFINANZ's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about IMMOFINANZ AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about IMMOFINANZ for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IMMOFINANZ AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 79.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out IMMOFINANZ Backtesting, IMMOFINANZ Valuation, IMMOFINANZ Correlation, IMMOFINANZ Hype Analysis, IMMOFINANZ Volatility, IMMOFINANZ History as well as IMMOFINANZ Performance. Note that the IMMOFINANZ AG information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other IMMOFINANZ's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Complementary Tools for IMMOFINANZ Stock analysis
When running IMMOFINANZ's price analysis, check to measure IMMOFINANZ's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IMMOFINANZ is operating at the current time. Most of IMMOFINANZ's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IMMOFINANZ's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IMMOFINANZ's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IMMOFINANZ to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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