Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 25.39

HASI Stock  USD 25.98  0.76  3.01%   
Hannon Armstrong's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Hannon Armstrong Sustainable. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Hannon Armstrong based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Hannon Armstrong Sustainable over a specific time period. For example, 2024-05-17 CALL at $25.0 is a CALL option contract on Hannon Armstrong's common stock with a strick price of 25.0 expiring on 2024-05-17. The contract was last traded on 2024-05-02 at 11:17:45 for $1.06 and, as of today, has 14 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.2, and an ask price of $1.35. The implied volatility as of the 3rd of May is 59.61. View All Hannon options

Closest to current price Hannon long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Hannon Armstrong's future price is the expected price of Hannon Armstrong instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hannon Armstrong Sustainable performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hannon Armstrong Backtesting, Hannon Armstrong Valuation, Hannon Armstrong Correlation, Hannon Armstrong Hype Analysis, Hannon Armstrong Volatility, Hannon Armstrong History as well as Hannon Armstrong Performance.
  
As of now, Hannon Armstrong's Price Earnings Ratio is increasing as compared to previous years. The Hannon Armstrong's current Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is estimated to increase to 0.1, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 8.34. Please specify Hannon Armstrong's target price for which you would like Hannon Armstrong odds to be computed.

Hannon Armstrong Target Price Odds to finish below 25.39

The tendency of Hannon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 25.39  or more in 90 days
 25.98 90 days 25.39 
about 55.62
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hannon Armstrong to drop to $ 25.39  or more in 90 days from now is about 55.62 (This Hannon Armstrong Sustainable probability density function shows the probability of Hannon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hannon Armstrong Sus price to stay between $ 25.39  and its current price of $25.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.87 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.56 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Hannon Armstrong will likely underperform. Additionally Hannon Armstrong Sustainable has an alpha of 0.0102, implying that it can generate a 0.0102 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hannon Armstrong Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hannon Armstrong

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hannon Armstrong Sus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hannon Armstrong's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.6925.2227.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.9625.4928.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.8526.3828.91
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
30.9434.0037.74
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hannon Armstrong. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hannon Armstrong's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hannon Armstrong's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hannon Armstrong Sus.

Hannon Armstrong Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hannon Armstrong is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hannon Armstrong's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hannon Armstrong Sustainable, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hannon Armstrong within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.01
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.56
σ
Overall volatility
1.29
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Hannon Armstrong Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hannon Armstrong for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hannon Armstrong Sus can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 19th of April 2024 Hannon Armstrong paid $ 0.415 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from zacks.com: Earnings Preview Ares Commercial Real Estate Q1 Earnings Expected to Decline

Hannon Armstrong Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hannon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hannon Armstrong's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hannon Armstrong's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding109.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments62.6 M

Hannon Armstrong Technical Analysis

Hannon Armstrong's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hannon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hannon Armstrong Sustainable. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hannon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hannon Armstrong Predictive Forecast Models

Hannon Armstrong's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hannon Armstrong's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hannon Armstrong's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hannon Armstrong Sus

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hannon Armstrong for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hannon Armstrong Sus help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 19th of April 2024 Hannon Armstrong paid $ 0.415 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from zacks.com: Earnings Preview Ares Commercial Real Estate Q1 Earnings Expected to Decline
When determining whether Hannon Armstrong Sus offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Hannon Armstrong's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Stock:

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When running Hannon Armstrong's price analysis, check to measure Hannon Armstrong's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hannon Armstrong is operating at the current time. Most of Hannon Armstrong's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hannon Armstrong's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hannon Armstrong's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hannon Armstrong to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hannon Armstrong's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hannon Armstrong. If investors know Hannon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hannon Armstrong listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.49)
Dividend Share
1.58
Earnings Share
1.42
Revenue Per Share
1.345
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.728
The market value of Hannon Armstrong Sus is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hannon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hannon Armstrong's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hannon Armstrong's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hannon Armstrong's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hannon Armstrong's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hannon Armstrong's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hannon Armstrong is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hannon Armstrong's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.