Turkiye Halk (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.77
| HALKB Stock | TRY 16.48 0.38 2.25% |
Turkiye |
Turkiye Halk Target Price Odds to finish over 14.77
The tendency of Turkiye Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 14.77 in 90 days |
| 16.48 | 90 days | 14.77 | about 31.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Turkiye Halk to stay above 14.77 in 90 days from now is about 31.18 (This Turkiye Halk Bankasi probability density function shows the probability of Turkiye Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Turkiye Halk Bankasi price to stay between 14.77 and its current price of 16.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.28 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Turkiye Halk Bankasi has a beta of -0.84. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Turkiye Halk are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Turkiye Halk Bankasi is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Turkiye Halk Bankasi has an alpha of 0.4403, implying that it can generate a 0.44 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Turkiye Halk Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Turkiye Halk
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Turkiye Halk Bankasi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Turkiye Halk's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Turkiye Halk Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Turkiye Halk is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Turkiye Halk's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Turkiye Halk Bankasi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Turkiye Halk within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.44 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Turkiye Halk Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Turkiye Halk for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Turkiye Halk Bankasi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Turkiye Halk Bankasi had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Turkiye Halk Bankasi has accumulated about 30.39 B in cash with (61.97 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 24.31, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Turkiye Halk Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Turkiye Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Turkiye Halk's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Turkiye Halk's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 B |
Turkiye Halk Technical Analysis
Turkiye Halk's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Turkiye Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Turkiye Halk Bankasi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Turkiye Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Turkiye Halk Predictive Forecast Models
Turkiye Halk's time-series forecasting models is one of many Turkiye Halk's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Turkiye Halk's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Turkiye Halk Bankasi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Turkiye Halk for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Turkiye Halk Bankasi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Turkiye Halk Bankasi had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Turkiye Halk Bankasi has accumulated about 30.39 B in cash with (61.97 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 24.31, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Check out Turkiye Halk Backtesting, Turkiye Halk Valuation, Turkiye Halk Correlation, Turkiye Halk Hype Analysis, Turkiye Halk Volatility, Turkiye Halk History as well as Turkiye Halk Performance. Note that the Turkiye Halk Bankasi information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Turkiye Halk's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Complementary Tools for Turkiye Stock analysis
When running Turkiye Halk's price analysis, check to measure Turkiye Halk's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Turkiye Halk is operating at the current time. Most of Turkiye Halk's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Turkiye Halk's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Turkiye Halk's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Turkiye Halk to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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